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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Once again the money’s going on TMay not making it to the end
You can see a pretty straight line from the attempts to understand the reasons for Leave, through Mansion House, to Chequers, to the deal we now have. She threw in a Remainers understanding of what avoiding economic self-harm meant, given that Leavers for the most part also felt they were avoiding that. She has attempted… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s Cold War, Jim: but not as we know it
"Washington (CNN)Pennsylvania's Republican Party is asking for an investigation into Tuesday's special election. The party has asked the Pennsylvania secretary of state to look into "a number of irregularities" it says occurred during voting in the House race between Republican Rick Saccone and Democrat Conor Lamb. Lamb… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Free movement now appears to be at the heart of Brexit negotia
@Cyclefree. As you well know, entrance to law firms is fiercely competitive. In that sense the work placements etc are no different to the personal statements which dominate UCAS entries. In my experience though, law firms do take into account backgrounds and as even the London firms become international the approach have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It’s a fallacy to presume that 60% of those who’ll actually vo
Real wages have fallen; that's the consequence of an internal devaluation. But the labour market has responded by dramatic increases in the number of people employed. Spain GDP per capita, on a PPP basis, is about to overtake Italy. Indeed, it may well do so this year. In 2007, Spain was a booming country, but it was the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Cummings Durham trip during the lockdown – the reaction co
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Other 2020 US Elections – the Democratic party fight to ta
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Alastair Meeks compares his predictions for 2015 with what
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Take Khan to the bank
Unusually, I’m with Charles. Sadiq is an empty suit and his response to issues around crime, housing and transport has been pathetic. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Guest slot: Corbyn represents something more than just Corb
It's like 1814 all over again @StewartWood: The Duke of Wellington has just been elected to the House of Lords. Straight up. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Concerned about Brexit/Trump/Catalonia/Etc? A special message
OMG. Trump has just sent a sensible, normal tweet about opiates. There's been a coup d'etat at the White House this morning. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden way ahead in tonight’s four big primaries
After a day organising various things my wife and I have gone into a 12 week lockdown due to our high risk of covid 19. Made arrangements with my family to help us without coming within two metres or into the house However, my 17 year old granddaughter has phoned me to say she has been sent home from school with a 38… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Odds-on UKIP leadership favourite, Steven Woolfe, should k
Most polling indicates that the EU per se is not a very salient issue in determining votes at a General Election. Post Brexit that is probably even more likely to be the case unless a real sense of 'betrayal' takes hold. To that extent UKIP has lost its core issue or raison d'etre - though it also attracted significant… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this Ipsos-MORI polling is right then party leaders are
@foxinsoxuk What a ridiculous comparison between the USA and the UK. They're clearly very different cases. The most obvious one is that the US has huge amounts of land and is very thinly populated, meaning that importing large numbers of people won't drive up land prices and prevent people getting on the housing ladder.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: May trouncing Corbyn in the po
James Forsyth: Imagine if Donald Trump declared that Islam had ‘no place’ in his country, or proposed banning the burqa ‘wherever legally possible’. There wouldn’t be enough space in Trafalgar Square for all the protestors. British ministers would be forced to the Commons to make clear their disagreement with the President… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The 2013 locals so far: the John Curtice verdict
The Conservative councillors in Tunbridge Wells have been in rather a chaotic state for several years. There have been some big bust-ups and much controversy over development and over traffic schemes. Also, not all of Tunbridge Wells is elegant Decimus Burton houses - it's actually quite a mixture. There has been a… -
Re: With Truss about to start LAB becomes the “most seats” favourite – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump goes on the offensive against the media – a sign of the
I totally agree with the penultimate sentence in Mike's piece here. When video or audio is released showing that Trump has unmistakably done something that he has emphatically denied, there will be trouble. We would be likely to be way above the level at which his lawyers could argue over the meaning of the word "is".… -
Re: It’s the economy again, stupid – politicalbetting.com
Out here in the blue wall, people are quietly having fun while remaining cautious in shops - masks almost universal in Sainsbury. A friend's funeral is getting a good turnout, but some of the elderly folk are not coming. Generally it all seems quite sensible - enjoy life as you usually would, but if you're concerned about… -
Re: It’s not getting any better for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
I've just been working (*) for a couple of hours, listening to music as I code. I come on PB and lose my train of thought. I realised the music I've been listening to has been on auto-repeat the whole time. On one song. And I had not noticed. "Leaving", by the Pet Shop Boys, if anyone cares. (*) Sort of... -
Re: YouGov’s US election model is just out and projects a Biden landslide – politicalbetting.com
The theory and this is something that's fairly widely theorised, not just me: 1. London has a younger more social population. 2. People who interact with each other come into contact with a lot of other people on any given day. 3. Those people are more likely to have got the Rona in Feb to April. 4. Those same people are…
