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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Miliband’s five hurdles
It's worse than that: the policies he has been coming up with (e.g. the energy freeze or on housing) are actively dangerous to those sectors. I'm amazed the way so many intelligent Labour supporters ignore that. He's being a purely reactionary leader: a focus group tells him the public don't like something, and his team… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sturgeon’s game-plan? Replace LAB with CON by replacing C
You may have Scottish ancestors but are totally ignorant of Scotland. Where do you get the pathetic vision from the Daily mail. You have obviously never been to Scotland and only know about it from right wing rags. The oil boom has all gone to London apart from a very few people in Aberdeen. Most of Scotland has never seen… -
Re: Some of the front pages following BoJo’s big COVID gamble – politicalbetting.com
It’s not all or nothing. The restrictions have been gradually eased over the last few months, and the next/last easing has been delayed by a month already. ‘All’ was last spring, when we were only allowed out for an hour a day, and that has been incrementally reduced to ‘almost nothing’ now, followed by ‘nothing’ in a… -
Re: Should we start adding a Trump effect to the polls and betting strategies? – politicalbetting.com
I have written two. But there has been zero commentary on here as best I can tell on the amendments which have been accepted and rejected which have radically changed the Bill. So it is time for us to discuss it in detail again. Its effect, especially in light of the disability benefits cuts and its effect on those in the… -
Re: Remember Starmer can be next PM even if CON wins most seats – politicalbetting.com
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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Populus “Mondays good for LAB, Fridays for CON” sequenc
@TOPPING - It's been a pretty iron-hard fist already, hasn't it? This government has been laying into vested interests all over the place - welfare reform, educational reform, NHS reform, child benefit, tax avoidance, planning laws, spare-room subsidy, removing lots of tax breaks, fracking, HS2... How hard do you want the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » MPs were right to oppose action in Syria in 2013 and may well
Absolutely incorrect. Nobody is suggesting that the House of Commons would have been briefed in tactical detail on the operation but the principle of military action is another matter. Appropriate members of the Privy Council would have had further knowledge. Parliament should have been recalled and the Prime Minister has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If the Sun’s Harry Cole is right there are signs that a move a
Neoliberalism and austerity have led to- Massive national debt, economic growth, stagnant real wage growth, poor productivity growing inequality, high house prices/rents, rising intergenerational inequality and a lowering of environmental protection. Poverty has been policy. Both parties in the past have been on the side… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The practical guide to centre-left schisms
The legislation is here: http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukpga/2015/25/pdfs/ukpga_20150025_en.pdf From skimming it as far as I can tell, the only 3 situations recall applies to is if an MP has a criminal conviction, if they have been suspended from the house or if they have been caught fiddling expenses. Nothing in there… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Paxman beard – your verdict. Take part in our silly sea
TGOHF - The reason that UK mortgages are seen as risk free lending is that everything bar the kitchen sink has been thrown at the UK housing market to stop it collapsing. Just imagine what higher interest - therefore mortgage rates - would do. Neither are we prepared to deal with the supply problem for political reasons.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Five CON holds & a gain + one LAB hold in this week’s local by
Right, on to my soapbox. Whilst the detail of the report is challengeable, the point is not. There will be a labour shortage for labour-intensive parts of the agriculture industry, fruit and veg picking being a good example. For too long the industry has been dependent on seasonal workers, on pay that only makes sense if… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Four LAB defences and one LD one in tonight’s local by-elec
Donald Trump says the chances that he will launch a third-party White House run will “absolutely” increase if the Republican National Committee is unfair to him during the 2016 primary season. “The RNC has not been supportive. They were always supportive when I was a contributor. I was their fair-haired boy,” the Business… -
Re: The Danny Kruger effect – politicalbetting.com
There is a notorious site somewhere in Yorkshire (I still can't tell you where else I'll be shot) which holds the last native example of a particular species. The plant was thought extinct (thanks to Victorian collectors) until someone found a single example in the 1930s. The site was managed by a committee which used… -
Re: Ipsos MORI Politics + Society podcast. US election special. Can Trump turn it around? – politicalbet
Plenty of Monarchs were elected, either as founders of a dynasty, like Michael Romanov or the elected Kings of Poland after 1573, or- for long periods- the Holy Roman Empire. To be honest, after the passing of the Queen, the question of the Monarchy is bound to rise up the political agenda. The fact that the Queen has not… -
Re: Labour’s useless strategy? – politicalbetting.com
Suella Braverman has been accused of milking the system by claiming taxpayers’ cash for her utility bills while millions of people struggle to pay theirs. The Home Secretary raked in nearly £25,000 in expenses over five years to cover energy and other costs for her main home while staying rent-free at her parents’ house… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Let us not forget how much Corbyn contributed to Johnson’s GE2
PS for balance I do know people who have emotionally benefited from Covid: got closer to their partners, or children, been less stressed by WFH. I also know two close friends who are very definitely better off, financially. One is a noted designer who does up big posh houses: the ultra-rich are spending big on their homes… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I’m not tempted by the 3/1 bet that Cameron will be out
Well of course that's a view. On the other hand there is a large and probably growing slice of disaffected voters more or less across the political spectrum. These people are - probably in areas of the economy that get ignored - construction manufacturing etc - have been bearing the brunt of globalisation - see immigration… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A very British coup.
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Re: Voters don’t care about identity – politicalbetting.com
From my perspective Coventry is a small city. My sister lives there - you can walk across the centre in 15 minutes. Wakefield is even smaller. We had a good discussion on this in a previous thread which you must have missed. The original point was few of our big cities have a cathedral as a focal point, including London -… -
Re: Just three days to go in the SNP leadership election – politicalbetting.com
Evening folks A question for the great and good here. (Hopefully this hasn't already been discussed) IDS has just been on BBC news discussing Partygate and made an interesting claim that I have not heard before. He said that Erskine May says that an MP is guilty if they 'knowingly' mislead Parliament but that the Standards…