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Re: The next Tory poll lead – politicalbetting.com
The posters on PB aren't representative at all TBH they aren't representative of tribal Tory voters and think politics is just a silly decorum game rather than about policy substance. You provide very interesting analysis on Lab, LD and Con fortunes and it is still far more moored in reality than the majority of posters.… -
Re: Johnson could face a confidence vote from the Tory grassroots – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Johnson now just a 27% betting chance of going this year – politicalbetting.com
Good starting place https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Alaska's_at-large_congressional_district_special_election And here is timeline as per this link https://elections.alaska.gov/specialelections.php April 1 by 5pm - Candidate Filing Deadline April 4 by 12pm - Candidate Withdrawal Deadline April 27 - Ballots Mailed to… -
Re: The big worry for LAB and the LDs is Johnson going – politicalbetting.com
Good morning, everyone. F1: Perez is available at 5 (5.25 with boost), third the odds top 2 each way, to top third practice. Probably value. -
Re: The Swingback Myth – Do governments really recover? – politicalbetting.com
Your problems begin if you start wondering if you've ever shagged the same pigeon twice. Well,I say 'begin,' they probably started a bit earlier TBF. But I've never personally heard of anyone who said that. @Leon do you have any examples from your wider experience of these matters? -
Re: Could Gordon put the decision off right till the end? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Thoughts on the polling debate from Nick Sparrow – formerly of ICM – politicalbetting.com
That’s probably one of the strongest arguments to retain him TBF. -
Re: The rail strike could help the Tories retain Tiverton & Honiton – politicalbetting.com
I get the firm impression that the Conservatives are in the same electoral denial as the Lib Dems were between 2010 -15 and hence are unable to face the perilous position they are in, despite being told and told again by those who have only their best interests in mind. They simply have to get rid of Johnson. There is no… -
Re: 2 weeks to go till the by-elections and more want BoJo OUT – politicalbetting.com
I'm not a Leaver. But Brexit was an identity vote, so rehashing all the same arguments about the economic impacts are a denial of reality. People aren't going to suddenly change their view on their identity because of a little economic difficulty. We have to deal with the situation we find ourselves in, not the situation… -
Re: The GE2017 BBC leaders debate that TMay dodged – politicalbetting.com
I'd say it is as bad as it possibly can be and the German government has strategically failed with respect to Russia over decades. There is a potential for some big political and structural changes in Europe after this war. -
Re: Penny Mordaunt: Now 2nd favourite for the CON leadership – politicalbetting.com
Only listened in the car, but thought Starmer was underwhelming after being given such a wonderful opening with the VONC and 3/4 of backbenchers voting for Boris to go. Crossed my mind that he was thinking "I'm going to get a ticket from Durham police and will have to walk the plank, whilst the POS PM is going to carry on… -
Re: Johnson holds on with 58.7% of the vote – politicalbetting.com
https://www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/elections IFG opinion that perhaps there is nothing HMQ can do to prevent an "abusive dissolution". So parliament, 1922 and so forth need to be ready so that no Boris benefit could accrue to such a dissolution. Could a house VONC and immediate unity candidate pre-empt… -
Re: The Wednesday afternoon open thread – politicalbetting.com
Pretty much as I said. The histrionics that a Parliament has shown about small breaks with things to do with Northern Ireland show that its utterly improbable the Commons and Lords would allow us to unilaterally abrogate the entire Treaty throwing us into an immediate No Deal scenario. If the only way out of a situation is… -
Re: The betting money’s still going on a 2022 BJ exit – politicalbetting.com
Yoons, constantly gaining amusement and succour from alcoholism and drug deaths. It's what keeps the poor souls going. -
Re: The Tories go on the offensive in T&H – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The front pages on the confidence vote – politicalbetting.com
I lived there for three years and fully agree - especially about avoiding August when the Italian hordes arrive -
Re: The ConservativeHome poll is bad news for Johnson – politicalbetting.com
The needy clinging to Ukraine is hilarious. Especially given the oligarch funding, games of tennis with Mrs Chernyukhin and ennoblement of Lord Lebedev of Siberia. Gut wrenchingly hilarious. -
Re: New poll has 59% want CON MPs to vote to remove BoJo – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The confidence vote takes place tonight – politicalbetting.com
Balfour was Leader of the Opposition in the House of Commons from 1892-95 and First Lord of the Treasury from 1895-1902. -
Re: Johnson’s premiership is on a knife edge – politicalbetting.com
