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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Joe Biden says Trump will have to be “escorted from the White
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Re: YouGov has LAB with a 25% lead amongst women – politicalbetting.com
All politics is relative and someone has to be one who doesn't lose at a GE. At the moment that could be SKS. To be fair to him his claims have not been been massively over excessive. As the time gets nearer he will struggle, as all Labour campaigns have since 'Labour's Tax Bombshell' (1992) to be seen as honest without… -
Re: It is this demographic that will determine the Presidential election – politicalbetting.com
a I think people made an initial "effort" to get into central London for the late bar thing. I've always lived in tube/busable range and I've watched as things changed. I think that a younger demographic has got pushed out of London - lots of young professionals are being pushed into commuter belt, long before kids and the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By signing the Good Friday Agreement 21 years ago the UK made
Singling out Taoiseach Leo Varadkar’s insistence that the backstop must be maintained, she [Foster] added: “I am not surprised by the Taoiseach’s reaction. I am almost tempted to say ‘He would say that, wouldn’t he?’. “But I think the letter that the Prime Minister has sent to President Tusk explains very clearly why the… -
Re: Ruthless: RBG’s death has given Trump a Black Swan to exploit – politicalbetting.com
FPT on housing. I’m surprised the question needs to be asked. The government and central bank have shown they will not allow a proper long term recalibration of prices in the housing market. The UK version of the Bernanke put. Zero rates (or lower) essentially now forever from the perspective of a house buyer. Huge stamp… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » NEW PB / Polling Matters podcast: The week the polls turned, B
Hmm, this has made it even harder for the government to win future votes, especially if the House of Lords engage in some wiff waff. Won't be surprising to see the opposition parties failing to engage in pairing going forward. The government seems to be obsessed with short term tactics not a long term strategy. Julian… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Mad Tory Friday part 2…..
I'm no supporter of hers as you know. I don't buy into this faux admiration for her doing what she after all chose to do. I respect her "sense of duty" though that's not to be confused with a sense of survival or self-preservation. There's too much else needing to be sorted out for Conservatives to shamelessly self-indulge… -
Re: Do the Tories know what they are getting with Truss? – politicalbetting.com
That's interesting. On the whole demand has been reducing in many places for years. Average energy per dwelling is quite seriously less than it was 10 or 20 years ago. With demand being higher from older houses which are less energy efficient, I'd perhaps investigate introducing a practice of applying a condition of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Very shortly the credibility of so many Tory leavers could be
It's a motion to revoke if we look to be heading out with no deal. The interesting bit is it is pushing the laughable'revoke and maybe we will reinvoke option'. Clause 4 looks extremely woolly. That -(1) If, at midday on the second last Day before exit day, the condition specified in section 13(1)(d) of the Act (the… -
Re: Some context for budget week – politicalbetting.com
If I change my outlook to positive I will be 108 before I croak. Chatting with someone on our street last week, bearing in mind I live in an LD/Tory marginal. Family of four, both good jobs (pharmacist, and something business-ey that requires an MBA), nice house, two quality cars on the drive - and their mortgage renewal… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just months before the US looks set to elect a female Presi
Conor Pope @Conorpope 10h10 hours ago In two and a half years I've worked here, LabourList readership has been - roughly speaking - a decent guide to the average Labour activist. Conor Pope @Conorpope 10h10 hours ago When I saw traffic for the list of MPs who had abstained on the Welfare Bill last year it became clear… -
Re: Is Donald Trump heading for his Pierre-Charles Villeneuve moment, again? – politicalbetting.com
@kinabalu: "This is a useful way of quantifying the circumstantial evidence / coincidence of the virus starting in Wuhan. I’d probably go with a more prudent estimate of Z. Wuhan has a population of about 12 million. Contrary to some stories the actual lab was about 40 minutes away from the market, not just round the… -
Re: So now it is down to 8 – politicalbetting.com
It has already been explained many times Starmer tabled a motion that contained conditional language. That, as laid out by the library of the House, does not meet the threshold necessary to be granted a debate. It was a valid motion but not worded in such a way as to trigger a debate as per the convention. (This also… -
Re: Sometimes I don’t have to say anything, the image says it all – politicalbetting.com
We have a system where both the owner and a renter pay rates which are the equivalent of council tax. These are owner (foncier) and renter (occupier) and there are two sets, one that pays for your local parish services such as bins, recycling etc and one set goes to the central gov. These are calculated by a Parish… -
Re: Not Again …. – politicalbetting.com
80% of the housing stock in Mariupol has been destroyed or damaged. -
Re: Could TMay be back as a temporary PM? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Trump down to a 14% chance on Betfair as the post election battles continue – politicalbetting.com
I'm knackered. I've been staring at the numbers wondering whether to cash out in case Trump pulls it out of the fire, or press up on a near-certain Biden victory at 1/8, but the old neurons aren't firing and all that has happened is Biden's moved into 1/10. 538 says no news is expected for another couple of hours. Time for… -
Re: Wes Streeting displays absolutely no subtlety as he goes on manoeuvres – politicalbetting.com
Nope. Barrat having been building shit for years. With Polish labour. And all the other Eastern Europeans. It’s a simple thing, that the Victorians understood. Hell, the Medievals had a clue on the subject. If you have a standard, you get two things. A potentially better product for the consumer. You also create an… -
Re: Tories, huh, yeah, what are they good for? Absolutely nothing, uhh – politicalbetting.com
The Sunday Rawnsley: Intransigence by the government has not weakened the resolve of aggrieved workers; it has increased their determination to express their anger about their pay and conditions. Ministers also misread the temper of the country. Public opinion has not been shifting in the direction the government… -
Re: Broken Eggs. No Omelette. – politicalbetting.com
