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Re: British voters agree with J.D. Vance (after a fashion)– politicalbetting.com
A lot of people have lost a lot of money vetting against Trump. He's been better prepared and more coherent in foreign policy than any US President since Jimmy Carter. -
Re: The polling brings bad news for Starmer – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Always, ALWAYS, check the terms of your bets – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Let’s party like it’s 1910 – politicalbetting.com
@chadbourn.bsky.social Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi: “The ship that was sunk in the Indian Ocean was unarmed and full of training officers. “Attacking such ship is a war crime.” -
Re: The search for Starmer's replacement - politicalbetting.com
What if David Milliband were ever to come back and fight a by-election and win. Surely he would be a leader contender? -
Re: This bodes ill for Reform – politicalbetting.com
I'm with Mr Starmer on these. He's doing a decent job of walking a difficult tightrope. I was watching GB News flapping on about "He's definitely not Churchill" earlier. No one mentioned that Churchill and the US President (FDR) were in 1942 spending their time working out the setup of International Law after WW2, and the… -
Re: The Greens are nearly first with YouGov – politicalbetting.com
just sit tight it is not a rout just yet, I have a 1% drop which is just noise, hopefully stays that way. -
Re: Punters think we will have a ceasefire by the end of April but Polymarket and others might soon lose
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Re: If this poll is correct then the value is with Labour – politicalbetting.com
If that poll is even close to accurate, I can see why Labour might look like the value bet right now. Political markets can lag behind shifts in local momentum, especially in tight races. Definitely a reminder to look beyond the surface numbers before placing anything! Correct Score Predictions -
Re: London 2028: Reform v Green? – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Punters say there’s just a 29% chance the Iranian regime will fall by the end of the month
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Re: Why Ayatollah Khamenei should follow the betting markets (if he's still alive)
I'd say the initial strategy will be as per Ukraine in Russia and Russia in Ukraine: increase vulnerability by making them use their defence missiles. Plus if the US and Israel are planning to o after all the stocks in their storage spots, it perhaps makes sense to use a signifi9cant number now. Even after the limited… -
Re: An update on Donald Trump’s chances on winning the Nobel Peace Prize – politicalbetting.com
It was an internal briefing to Israeli media, which they've rowed back on, noted by Times of Israel that it does not include bodies still not recovered from the rubble so it is an underestimate https://www.timesofisrael.com/idf-believes-70000-gazans-killed-in-war-as-claimed-by-hamas/ -
Re: Punters continue have more faith in Zack Polanski than Kemi Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Very briefly punters had more faith in Polanski than Badenoch – politicalbetting.com
I don't think it does. Certainly it doesn't dig into how far behind the Tories were, but nothing in it suggests what the split was, anymore than it suggests Green and Reform got 35% each. -
Re: It’s not a good win for Reform but a great win for the Greens – politicalbetting.com
Labour and the Greens combined got 24,344, whereas Reform got 10,578. However the Labour Green vote was split the winner would win be at least 1,594 votes ahead of Reform. They couldn't have won by a single vote -
Re: What will this betting market look like tomorrow morning? – politicalbetting.com
The worst result for Labour would be coming third behind the Greens and Reform followed by fines for their tactics. -
Re: As the polls open in Gorton & Denton here’s the latest betting – politicalbetting.com
The vulnerable are already at risk under the current system where a blind eye is often made to the law. People are being coerced at this very moment, in all sorts of ways. The proposed bill introduces many safeguards and clarifies the law. The palliative care argument is bogus and is a deflection. Respect democracy. It's… -
Re: The influence of Political betting is causing problems in Gorton & Denton – politicalbetting.com
“Gorton & wherever” Den near farmstead. Question is what’s in the den? -
Re: This feels sub-optimal for Reform – politicalbetting.com
I also live pretty close to the Gorton end, and have seen both Labour and Green groups, but nothing of Reform. Probably not terribly fertile ground for them at this end tbf.