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Re: Powerful from Beto O’Rourke – politicalbetting.com
As a regular golfer, playing throughout the year, I pay a great deal of attention to the daily forecasts for days when I'm considering playing, down to the precise hour of forecast rain and the percentage likelihood during the hour. When you're going to be playing out in the open for about 4 hours continually with almost… -
Re: As expected Johnson is taking a cautious approach but at least there’s an end in sight – politicalbe
There was an outage at Vanilla's end. Here are the reports (in EST so 5 hours behind us) from their status page. Resolved - This incident has been resolved. Feb 22, 14:54 EST Update - We are continuing to monitor for any further issues. Feb 22, 14:38 EST Monitoring - A fix has been implemented and we are monitoring the… -
Re: The betting money’s still going on a 2022 BJ exit – politicalbetting.com
I see that people who are not lawyers and certainly not experts in international law are now opining on what international law is or is not. I would not claim to be an expert in this area. But for what it's worth I spent the first few years of my career working on the International Tin Council case, which went to the House… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Darroch shows he’s a true diplomat and resigns
That's a question people don't seem to be asking often enough. I would say Hunt. That doesn't mean I think he is behind it but I suspect someone who wants Hunt to be PM probably is. Besides Darroch himself the 2 people most hurt by this leak are Trump (who has been embarrassed having this said by one of his closest allies)… -
Re: Can the Greens take their 2021 opportunities? – politicalbetting.com
Afternoon all :) On topic, environmental awareness is an area whose time has finally come after a number of false dawns. As others have argued, pursuing a programme based on eco-authoritarianism is going to get you nowhere slowly - that doesn't mean people don't care, conversely, more people do care and indeed care… -
Re: The Same Mistakes. Again – politicalbetting.com
@Peston · 3m We are witnessing full-on Downing Street chaos tonight - which has led the official spokesman for the health secretary Wes Streeting to give me a formal statement denying that Streeting is plotting behind the scenes to oust the PM. So many aspects of this are comic. But my favourite is that Kitty Ussher, who… -
Re: Starmer could be the greatest of all time – politicalbetting.com
This, it seems to me, gets right to the heart of the real problem. It relates to housing, growth, migration, school absence, benefits culture, government expenditure, tax, NHS, the social contract and the social fabric. It has been massively disguised by the use of meaningless unemployment figures which in the world of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » R.I.P. The Conservative Party 1834-2018 if the Brexiteer dream
What of course has happened is that all parties seemed to have boxed themselves in. That is, of course, if we assume that the Leader of the largest party, or indeed any party leader is to be PM. However, there's no rule which say that has to be. If Auntie May loses the confidence of her cabinet it is not impossible that… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this is accurate, then you might wish to update your Trump
Apparently Steve Bannon has privately been critical of this Bill. Breitbart has reported that he sees the ACHA as 'written by the insurance industry'. That didn't stop him from doing this though: http://uk.businessinsider.com/house-republican-freedom-caucus-shuts-down-steve-bannon-trumpcare-2017-3?r=US&IR=T It seems like… -
Re: Swingers Club News – politicalbetting.com
She made this point, but she was not convincing (read - wrong) despite her dogmatic insistence in the face of all actual evidence to the contrary which she ignored every time it was pointed out to her. Actually the result in 2019 was very much what you would have expected based on 2017's Tory vote share once you eliminated… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How long will May’s honeymoon period can go on?
Unless there is a constitutional crisis that prevents Article 50 being served - Supreme Court appeal lost, House of Lords playing silly buggers - then I don't see May going to the country until the Brexit negotiations have been concluded. She stood out on the wing, screaming for the hospital pass - now she has to try and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Selling time. What passes for Theresa May’s strategy
Not of course that the Lords would object anyway - so in one sense its slightly academic. Does a Minister have to lay the SI - as is usual under the negative procedure and it automatically becomes law unless Parliament reverses it within 40 sitting days - or has Yvette Cooper now been given that power to make the law… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why I’ve taken the 5/1 on Trump not to visit the UK in 2017 an
I was very much a Republican for years but recently my respect for the Queen has grown considerably. I remember her coronation in 1953 as being a street event with everyone coming into our house to watch it on our black and white tv with the curtains drawn (the only way you could see the picture). I used to get annoyed as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the eve of TMay’s meeting with her MPs punters make it a 21
The EU has no role in the GFA. The GFA has no impact on Brexit. Nobody is going to impose a hard border whether there is a deal or not. The EU are offering, as they have since March, a permanent NI only backstop and now a vague promise of a UK CU but negotiated later under threat of the NI backstop. Even if the UK CU was… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » George Osborne, the modern day Winston Churchill?
Where, outside a national park or site of special scientific interest, has local opposition prevented a development in recent years? If it has ever happened such cases must be few and far between. This NIMBYism of which you speak has already been slain, at least down here in the South East. Houses are being thrown up on… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Nighthawks is now open
Mr Hurstlama on the previous thread says there is no chance or evidence that the deficit is being reduced. This is another example of remarks flying in the face of facts. Spending plans show the deficit being eliminated. We have strong growth. Criticism of the govt has degenerated into pantomime proportions. I little while… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ipsos Mori sees the Tories retain their 3% lead
Has any one worked out what the Local Association's cause of action against Reckless is? A claim in restitution for quantum meruit perhaps? The association is also going to have terrible trouble if Court of Appeal's analysis of the party's constitutional structure in Conservative Central Office v Burrell (Inspector of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New polling suggests that CON London strongholds could be vuln
Most of them do not expire for a long time now, the length of the franchises has been raised to improve investment. Also, what would they use for trains? They are all privately owned, or did you not know that? Also whom would run the railways? The transport department is far too small, that would mean creating a new… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How WH2012 would have finished up if only white men had vot
Politicians abused the expenses system as a ‘displacement activity’ because they were bored by an increasingly irrelevant Parliament, John Bercow has claimed. The Commons Speaker prompted criticism when he blamed the expenses scandal on Westminster becoming less ‘meaningful’ rather than on collective ‘malice or… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » CON drops back into the 20s in latest Opinium poll for the
You don't think the Co op weren't licking their lips at snapping up tax payer bailed out branches ? Here's some facts and figures http://unlockdemocracy.org.uk/blog/entry/donor-of-the-week-the-co-operative-group "There are currently 29 Co-operative/Labour MPs in the House of Commons, including Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls,…