Search
-
Re: These YouGov findings are terrible for Truss – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Another October 2008? – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Biden’s moving back up in the WH2024 betting – politicalbetting.com
Oryx is accepted by even those who are quite anti-Ukraine. On pro Russian media troops at the front have been complaining that replacement tank crews are barely able to use their tanks, let alone fight well in then. -
Re: Is there any way back for the Truss Tories? – politicalbetting.com
“Germany leapfrogs UK to become Europe’s most shorted market as recession fears surge” https://www.fnlondon.com/articles/germany-leapfrogs-uk-to-become-europes-most-shorted-market-as-recession-fears-surge-bridgewater-associates-to-list-of-asset-managers-with-greatest-short-exposure-short-seller-20221011 Down the tubes we… -
Re: The most loopy idea yet from Team Truss? – politicalbetting.com
Presumably the SNP thinks the referendum would have an effect - even if only moral leverage. So by definition it is changing the balance of forces related to the union. -
Re: At evens LAB looks value for a Commons majority – politicalbetting.com
Never mind what Ukraine would say to that, Putin is not about to agree to withdraw to pre-2022 lines, that is clear. But at least your proposal is not suggesting immediate sanction dropping or preventing Ukraine joining NATO in theory, so it is technically not the worst proposal that has been suggested (but that is not… -
Re: Is Liz Truss still a republican? – politicalbetting.com
Yes, although it is notable how many of the people who rose to the top of East European politics in the years after the fall of the Wall were former senior communists. And as I recall, in Bulgaria and Slovakia they got back into power for a while? Russian society doesn’t have any of the bulwarks that democracy needs to… -
Re: Grant Shapps as our next Prime Minister? – politicalbetting.com
Am old enough to remember, that was one aspect of life in UK that used to astound Americans. Ditto quaint olde Englishe custom of, when selling a house, ripping out the plumbing & etc. upon exiting. -
Re: Retaining Senate control would be a huge boost for Biden – politicalbetting.com
If you check this one's profile, it was registered at the same time as a *second* profile which has been dormant ever since. So they're already ready for the ban hammer. -
Re: Just how long can she survive? – politicalbetting.com
No it doesn't. Me deciding what to have for dinner has no games theory implications. Whereas wars and strikes and such are entirely governed by it. It is almost always illuminating to ask in any negotiation what cards your opponent has in his hand and what he believes you have in yours. -
Re: A LAB majority still longer than evens in the betting – politicalbetting.com
The only possible response is a nuclear attack on North London gastropubs selling shellfish. -
Re: The Speccie speculates – “Rishi by Christmas?” – politicalbetting.com
Evening all :) As is so often the case, I'm late to the debate on today's polling about which I have a few thoughts. The 38 Degrees poll for London (Lab 59, Con 22, LD 13) isn't as wild as it sounds - other recent London polling has shown enormous Labour leads. In December 2019, Labour won 48% of the vote, the… -
Re: Both Truss and Kwarteng now have net approval ratings of MINUS 44% – politicalbetting.com
In the centre of the Cairngorms National Park? Loch Etchachan is a unique environment and has every designation going. I do hope that wasn't a serious suggestion. I know only people like me go there (camped on the shore in winter once!) but FGS. Anyway, it isn't that deep and it is frozen for about 5 months of the year. I… -
Re: Starmer’s responds to Truss’s “LAB is anti-growth” attack – politicalbetting.com
Austria has always had pretty stringent rules on FOM. I never understood why we didn't just do the same given the upset it was causing.m -
Re: Liz Truss – the Tory gift to Keir Starmer – politicalbetting.com
Going to be a tough winter for Russian soldiers. ⚡️Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov: "We have precise information from our Turkish partners that Russians tried to order 200 thousand flak jackets and 500 thousand sets of winter clothes through third countries. It means that they have a problem with this.”… -
Re: These numbers need to be substantially better for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Lib Dems benefit from the collapse of the Tory vote the most, I woild imagine they dont drop amy seats and could easily pick 1 (or more, need the get the spreadsheet out). Of course my thinking is based on old boundaries so many notnsurvive updated constituency lines. -
Re: A CON majority drops to a 17% betting chance – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Is the Daily Mail turning on Truss? – politicalbetting.com
-
Re: Red Tape or Red Mist? – politicalbetting.com
Why don't we debate this here? Perception of too much judgement and attachment to individualism is my guess. -
Re: It is becoming harder to see how Truss survives – politicalbetting.com
The police do not need a warrant to arrest people. They need 'reasonable grounds to believe somebody has committed an offence.' If they arrested her with or without a warrant that is also separate from seizing property unless it is an indictable offence which it seems unlikely this would be.