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Re: New R&W poll: Just 19% support local fracking – politicalbetting.com
Is there a rule that when applied always tells you who the LOTO has been since, say, 1911? Frederick Pethick-Lawrence was LOTO in 1942 without being the leader of a party. Arthur Greenwood who took over from him and held the position until 1945 wasn't a party leader either. Nor was Herbert Morrison in 1955. Who decides? -
Re: Tories 40% behind in the Red Wall – politicalbetting.com
Braverman playing the martyr but this is a cover for the rest of the letter where basically she lays into the government. -
Re: Is the regent about to become the monarch? – politicalbetting.com
She's on the list, according to the Express, along with most of PB's other superheroes. -
Re: Blow for Truss as Rishi becomes the members’ favourite – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Punters make it a 64% chance that Truss won’t survive 2022 – politicalbetting.com
The Conservatives are in mess. The 81,326 members who voted for Liz Truss know they were fooled, but 60,399 can happily say they were right to vote for Rishi Sunak. If the MPs give them anyone other than Rishi to be crowned they will be justified in crying foul. The wider electorate will not forgive Truss for this mess and… -
Re: Sunak remains favourite to succeed Truss as PM – politicalbetting.com
I suspect it depends on what is covered by the official secrets act. I can't see it being difficult to extend that. -
Re: Is this going to be Truss’s last week as PM? – politicalbetting.com
Both in the future, whereas what people will notice is the introduction of sanity for the first time in a while. Do you want to vote for a sane person or not. Not many people pick 'not'. -
Re: Memo to the Tories: Look stupid, it’s the economy – politicalbetting.com
It's convenient how his lines have repeatedly been similar to Russian lines, though. *) We shouldn't 'poke' Russia into invading Ukraine. *) We promised Russia no eastwards NATO expansion. *) Ukrainian NAZIs !!!! etc. All bullshit, especially from an undoubtedly intelligent man. -
Re: The public really don’t rate Liz Truss – politicalbetting.com
From a rough and ready calc, rolling NI into Income Tax would net the government an additional £32bn pa, ignoring the additional amount that would be gained from pensions income and earners over 66. While rolling NIC into Income Tax, the government could drop the contributory ESA offering saving another £4.5bn, since… -
Re: Has Campbell got this right – Hunt’s now PM in all but name – politicalbetting.com
Yes - eg with that "Strike" detective. Quite enjoyed the tv adaptation. -
Re: No. Prime Minister. – politicalbetting.com
Or the EU paying the Libyan “coast guard” to round up and imprison immigrants. The touch about auctioning their labour at the local market… -
Re: The front pages after another crazy day – politicalbetting.com
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Re: After sacking her Chancellor the money goes on a 2022 Truss exit – politicalbetting.com
Which Church are you talking about? The Roman Catholic, Pentecostal, Presbyterian and Anglican churches are completely separate denominations and churches -
Re: The latest Truss exit date betting – politicalbetting.com
Why should the markets be satisfied - your average bond trader in New York isn’t like a friendly primary school teacher who gives rewards for effort. What they’ve seen is the unfunded borrowing black hole reduced from £62bn to £43 bn but no clear statement from the PM that she understands that the strangers upon whose… -
Re: Rishi back as betting favourite for next PM – politicalbetting.com
Hopefully your financial future didn’t depend on that 40p. -
Re: The pressure mounts on Truss for a Budget U-Turn – politicalbetting.com
I don't want to like it, but I see your point. However, the west needs to support Ukraine as long as it can.... and then longer still. Russia has messed up. Europe is pivoting away from Russia. It will take longer than this winter, but once it is over, it is likely that many European countries will pivot from Russian… -
Re: Starmer now a 74% betting chance to be PM after next election – politicalbetting.com
We are in the "Wyle Cyotoe has gone off the cliff but hasn't realised yet" stage. New mortgage deals have got way more expensive but the majority of people are on their old mortgage deal, but thousands upon thousands will be rolling over as we come up to Christmas. The energy cap has jumped but most people wont have seen… -
Re: A 2023 Truss exit now a 58% chance in the betting – politicalbetting.com
That was my first reaction, as well - high up in Facebook... The 15 million a year is just the walking round money. Then he'll be getting all kinds of bonuses, options etc etc - the share you mention are just the start of it. -
Re: Just 30% of GE2019 CON voters say Truss would be “best PM” – politicalbetting.com
I have to decide what is really important to me. If there was one thing, just one thing, that I wanted to achieve as Prime Minister, what would it be, and could I make it happen in the next two years by compromising with my MPs, bringing Sunak back as Chancellor, and ceding control over most of the government's agenda. Is… -
Re: Day 41 of the Truss premiership and some terrible front pages – politicalbetting.com
I shudder to think how 2014 would have played out had there been nuclear weapons in Ukraine.