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Re: If this is what happens in the midterms then the Republicans are in for a shellacking
Just tell people what you know, and what you want them to do (or not do). Something like: "Police are investigating a stabbing incident at x place, at y time. A man in his approx age has been arrested and is helping police with their inquiries. We are not looking for anyone else in connection with this incident at this… -
Re: What to do with a cornered rat. – politicalbetting.com
After today's revelations I have come to the conclusion Patel's days as a minister are numbered She has been besieged with criticism from across the house and normally any cabinet minister in this situation would be seen next to the Prime Minister at PMQs as evidence of confidence, but Patel was not anywhere to be seen… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » With the top 2 in Newport West looking pretty certain the inte
OK. So, my thoughts on the US Democratic race 1. Sanders has had a pretty good start. Lots of coverage. Lots of fund raising. 2. Kamala Harris is facing some pretty tough questions, particularly on the death penalty, and in regards to her time as California AG. Still, she's the only non-old white man in double figures. 3.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tsipras’ own goal is Cameron’s gain
Let's not kid ourselves. The ECB is making up the rules as they go along. Good article here: "The issuer of the Euro is, of course, the ECB. It decides how much money each of the member states can have. This is not unique to Greece: money creation in all the member states is limited by the ECB. So we have supposedly… -
Re: As the counts continue it’s looking pretty certain that Biden will be heading for the White House –
Great, albeit obvious, point by Dan Hopkins below on 538 to which I would add that this election is NOT close. It only looks that way because of how the votes were counted. It has been exciting, thrilling, but close it isn't. The only close state is Georgia and Biden has obviously won it no matter how many times Trump… -
Re: Democrats look to be weathering the California Recall Election – politicalbetting.com
The problem is that most people don’t understand the current system. That’s why when May put forward her proposals, opposition politicians said that the Tories want to steal your house and got away with it. I talk about this a lot, but monetary policy has played a big part in this. I’ve despaired at house prices where I… -
Re: Some terrible findings for Johnson & co from YouGov – politicalbetting.com
Why are so many shrewd Political Punters on here, at this end of the week, still posting they think he will survive? The Smithsons, Eagles? I’m calling it. The moment the reports published the letters go in. What the report says, how damaging it is, doesn’t matter at all now, my tip to Sue play it safe warble on about… -
Re: LAB strong favourites to gain Mid-Beds – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Jenrick’s price is collapsing like the England test team's batting in the 1990s
Afternoon folks. Hope you are all having a fine day. Apologies I have been out geophys surveying an old manor house today so have missed the latest news. Can anyone explain why it is that Jenrick's value is collapsing? I mean, I am delighted but why has he suddenly become so unlikely to make the final two compared to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And now the YouGov MRP projection – a CON majority of 68
Brexit will not destroy sheep farming in the way that membership of the EU has destroyed suckler cow and dairy farming - there will be some sort of trade relationship. In fact the agri-environmental schemes for common land have been moderately successful on the fells I know best. The tree bits of them haven't worked. There… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf’s afternoon cartoon – “Ukip’s Map of the World”
Just been looking to see, which Boroughs have the highest house prices (over 500k average) and the political situation: K&C - average 1.4m - 2 safe Tory seats Westminster - average 970k - 1 safe Tory, 1 marginal (Westminster N) Camden - 820k - 1 safe Labour, 1 marginal (Hampstead & K) Hammersmith - 784k - 1 safe Tory, 1… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The future of Scottish LAB and Holyrood 2016: This week’s P
Housing Benefit is just a transfer of money from the government to private landlords. The reforms the government has made over the last few years are a valuable first step: the government should take advantage of the fact that it is a large buyer to squeeze rates. Social housing is important, but there have been issues in… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This could have been the moment when Boris lost the next C
Re the discussion of the DUP and the Union/coalitions, just noticed this, which I wonder may be relevant as well (in all seriousness): http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-northern-ireland-32475421 "Police have confirmed they are investigating after an incident during an election canvas in County Down was reported to… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast looks at Germany, Brexi
Even if the intent of his statement reflects the will of the house, broadly speaking, the manner could still have been incorrect. And by his own admission at least part of it was, since he apologised to the Lord Speaker. Calling for ousting may well be an overreaction to that (though we all know it is a longstanding… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It has been working class voters who have been the main dri
And the latest on the incompetent fop master strategy on Europe. "But this isn’t all that hypothetical when John Baron has already told Coffee House that if he and colleagues have no success through official routes, they will be ‘looking for all opportunities to raise this on the floor of the House’. And the Prime Minister… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s London progress could be masking a bigger trend: t
If the election were held today, the poll numbers would not be where they are currently because there would have been primaries and election campaigns already. Why should the Dems be worried? If they lose the White House and the GOP hold the House (almost certain) and the Senate (very doable), then bye bye ObamaCare and… -
Re: New polling tonight finds 78% saying they’ll comply with the latest lockdown regime – politicalbetti
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Re: I hope Nigel Farage bets – politicalbetting.com
She has been comedy gold her entire career. i think she was Ed Miliband's campaign manager and she was famously inept even then. EDIT: Her finest hour... She was heavily criticised for apparently suggesting that Labour's election pledges were liable to be broken: in talking about the EdStone, she commented: "I don't think… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour’s Migration dilemma
I find it remarkable that post Brexit that there is still such a reluctance to recognise that the benefits of immigration are almost entirely gained by a metropolitan elite and the disbenefits are almost entirely borne by the victims of our inadequate education systems and the generally feckless. Immigration undoubtedly… -
Re: How the pollsters fared in Scotland – politicalbetting.com
Why do GOP sources believe Trump wants to pick a conservative firebrand when their complaint for the past eight years has been that Trump is not a true Republican? Their fear should be that Trump will feel free to pick one of his own children if he thinks the White House is in the bag.
