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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Labour regain the lead with Ipsos Mori
Events in Belgium. It is notable that authorities in Brussels said that the arrest of an arms dealer in Southern Belgium, who reportedly brokered weapon supply to Kosher supermarket terrorist Amedy Coulibaly, wasn't related to todays events. It is, indirectly. The understanding is that Coulibaly may have also been a link… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » First projection of new boundaries suggests that at GE2015
But, but, but Herself always gives me lists of things to do around the house and always has. Not only that when she come home she is quite capable of walking round on an inspection tour to make sure I have done all that I was instructed and that I have done it thoroughly. I might also say that aside from a couple of… -
Re: After the beauty parade punters make Cleverly the coming man – politicalbetting.com
According to the Cook Report, polling is still tight in the battleground states. https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/survey-research/2024-swing-state-project/swing-state-polling-finds-deadlocked-presidential Harris has a lead within the margin of error in Arizona (+2), Michigan (+3), Nevada (+1), Pennsylvania (+1), and… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Do the size of ministers’ majorities matter?
Anyone who has to deal with HMRC for a living will tell you that the cuts in staffing have had an impact. Just to give one example, on many matters where you could previously call your Inspector to get an answer/documentation/notification etc you now have to speak to a contact centre staffed with people who don't know the… -
Re: It’s not easy being green – politicalbetting.com
Why are you having a pop at the normally restrained Nigel? Remember it has been Pimms O'Clock in Portugal for several hours now. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Counterfactual: Dave would not have become PM if in May 201
Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government I think this assertion is more dubious than the idea of a minority Conservative Government. Firstly Brown did not have all the cards. His party had just polled the second lowest vote share that any Labour government had polled in 80… -
Re: The East Midlands Flipchart? – politicalbetting.com
For those confused by Sean T’s ranting about COVID-19 last night, this stems from a recent appearance by Anthony Fauci before a House committee. The Washington Post has this write-up: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/06/03/fauci-testimony-congress-covid-conspiracy/ NBC have a drier take at… -
Re: Reform voters are going to hell – politicalbetting.com
Perhaps but they would be foolish to do so. Unless Trump gets his approval rating above its current 39% then more leftist Democrats like Mamdani are likely to be elected in the midterms next year and it is not impossible a leftist could even win the White House in 2028. Remember how the Tories couldn't believe their luck… -
Re: Lessons from history – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Labour are starting to own the economy – politicalbetting.com
There is no need to either raise taxes, which are already at a record high, nor cut spending. We just need to get economic growth. And to get economic growth, we just need to stop people from deliberately preventing growth. Remove planning restrictions on growth, and remove the ability to judicial review once a decision… -
Re: Suddenly the betting money goes on Michelle Obama – politicalbetting.com
It is worth emphasizing this. Once something is outsourced it is virtually impossible to bring it back in house as the required skill set and staff will no longer exist internally. A lot of the work the next Labour Government is going to have to do is to replace knowledge that has been lost due to historic decisions and… -
Re: Why are the Tories leading in the polls? – politicalbetting.com
Yes, NHS Superannuation is already not what it was. The caps on lifetime allowance and penal taxation of annual allowances have done for that, and the other terms of the schemes are significantly worse. The real need is for all to have access to decent pension schemes, but the problem here is the very low interest rates… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Harriet: I’m a fan but you got it wrong
This is going to get messyBritish pilots have carried out military air strikes on Syria for the first time, the Ministry of Defence has revealed. The UK personnel were embedded with the forces of Allied nations, including the USA and Canada, which have been conducting strikes against the Islamic State of Iraq and the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It looks as though it could be after Easter before Pennsylvani
Looks like Alexander has been well and truly nixed: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-43465700 In the footage, asked what "deep digging" could be done, Mr Nix told an undercover reporter: "Oh, we do a lot more than that." He suggested one way to target an individual was to "offer them a deal that's too good to be true… -
Re: Why Keir Starmer is the new Boris Johnson – politicalbetting.com
Yes Trump has many times claimed to have beaten Obama or run against Obama, which of course never happened, but does show what prompted Trump to run in 2016, because a Black man (President Obama) poked fun at Trump at the White House Correspondents' dinner in 2011, Trump had repeatedly made false and racist allegations… -
Re: Allegra Stratton is right to raise questions about EVs – politicalbetting.com
That's brilliant thanks, I didn't know that's what they're called. I assume this is the Ebay one: https://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/124652282445 ? If so, it's almost identical to ours: except ours has an original mechanism, has been very much bashed about, the centre (hour) dial is smaller, and the hands finer. It hasn't been… -
Re: Today’s must watch and some important stats – politicalbetting.com
'Unparalleled' snake antivenom made from man bitten 200 times https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cr5d0l7el36o.amp The blood of a US man who deliberately injected himself with snake venom for nearly two decades has led to an "unparalleled" antivenom, say scientists. Antibodies found in Tim Friede's blood have been shown to… -
Re: The voters think 2022 will be Boris Johnson’s annus horribilis – politicalbetting.com
Morning all :) I think the question is not whether Boris Johnson will have as bad a 2022 as he had a 2021 - it would be hard to imagine what a worse year would look like - but whether assuming he doesn't have such a bad year whether he will get any credit. I've heard it said it's a worse fate for a politician to be… -
Re: LOST IN THE WOODS: Labour’s Challenge for the 2020s – politicalbetting.com
The Australians may have been trying to smooth things over - it's still middle of the night there - but I suspect there will be comment in a few hours time: https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/europe-blocks-250-000-astrazeneca-doses-bound-for-australia-20210305-p577z3.html A raft of international deliveries were authorised… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Boris Johnson channels both Theresa May and Gordon Brown
I don’t believe that there has been a single case ever of a Prime Minister advising a monarch not to give royal assent to a bill that both Houses of Parliament have passed. So what is being hinted at is literally without precedent. I don’t really understand why anyone thinks the Prime Minister even has a role in this…
