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Re: Opinium finds 28% drop in support for government’s economic handling – politicalbetting.com
When the weather is like this, England is a great place to be. One thing about the pandemic has been the rediscovery of simple pleasures, like having my morning cuppa in the garden with my pup. Better than Starbucks! Incidentally, one of my neighbours is a retired binman in social housing, and has the same view, though he… -
Re: The Dangers of Oppositionalism – politicalbetting.com
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Re: We changed Prime Ministers during both World Wars – politicalbetting.com
If you don't like China, you can have Singapore. But having been in China for a month, I can tell you for instance "trains ferry a lot of empty air" isn't true, certainly not in Eastern China. The 1000 person trains were full. And the bullet trains are miles ahead of the rest of the world now in every aspect and they can… -
Re: Eclipsing Badenoch. Soon Farage could be the favourite to be the next PM – politicalbetting.com
This site is missing a good Reform voter to balance the traditional mainstream views. I am not a Reform voter but have been trying to understand their viewpoint. One of the biggest mistakes that the Tories are making is that they are assuming that the Reform voters will come back to them if Labour are useless and they say… -
Re: No leads Yes by 28% in the latest independence poll – politicalbetting.com
isn't it just proving what we already knew - there are an unlimited amount of problems that can superficially be solved in a police state, which is what this is - no justice system, no due process, etc?. As that line has been crossed, whatever comes next is likely to be just as dysfunctional and messed up. This is all… -
Re: If the polls continue like this can Sunak survive? – politicalbetting.com
You've got to be careful with ventilation/vapour barrier provision for sure. Interesting thing with our extension has been that all the morning condensation in the kitchen/dining room has disappeared (the extension removed those windows and external wall). The new extension windows get condensation on the outside as the… -
Re: Bombing Iran bombs with UK voters meanwhile in America… – politicalbetting.com
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Re: The long term economic plan – politicalbetting.com
On topic, and I know this will be met with derision, I actually think that Labour has a reasonably good long-term economic plan, but it will take at least 10 years for it to come to fruition - on house-building, energy, new towns, etc. One of the consequences of this is that the government knows it will be unpopular in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A post Brexit vote recession could cost the Tories the next
There's a lovely letter in STimes today from well respected German economists saying they'd love to have Gexit as they're sure the EU house will fall down. I think the recent MORI polling showing how unhappy our EU neighbours are has really floored Remain. Their Urgh-Little-Englander meme has been exploded. -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Perhaps I’ve judged Corbyn wrong as new Ipsos MORI poll sees C
I've been thinking about the social care thing. It does mean that I stand to inherit a share of a 100k estate instead of a 300k estate (tiny violin, I know but it means a lot to my father). He has significant mobility issues rather than dementia and pays c2k pm for carers at home. Under the existing system his house is… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tuesday evening round up
Grexit update: The White House has just told everyone that Jack Lew, the Treasury Secretary, has been on the phone to Tsipiras (and one assumes, Legarde and Merkel), to try and persuade him to be "pragmatic", and warning him of the hardship that would ensue from a disorderly default. I assume that he offered Tsipiras… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium has the Tories 2% ahead fir the first time since it
Aargh ........ I see Mike yet again, for the umpteenth time, quotes his 11.4% statistic within this threader head! The truth is that Opinium's key finding is that the difference in the VI between the two major parties (let's not foolishly refer to the LibDems as such any longer) has narrowed by 4% in the Tories' favour… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » YouGov’s UKIP share falls to lowest level since October – a
(continued) Of the second: When Mr. and Mrs. MacDougall's youngest son leaves home (because there are no local jobs, another grouse) his parents lose their housing benefit (the so-called "bedroom tax"). For his parents there is no maisonette around the corner, nor tower-block down the road. So they not only have to leave… -
Re: Humza Yousaf? More like Humza Useless – politicalbetting.com
Flagging up a new weekly long-run podcast on the Israel/Gaza continuing situation, from the Telegraph - from a team overlapping with that which has done "Ukraine - the latest". I've been impressed by the Ukraine podcast, running for approx 45 mins to one hour on weekdays since spring 2022. It has focused on exploring… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If this polling turns out to be accurate then it is great news
The issue is that, so far as I am aware, the Royal Prerogative, once removed, has never been restored. Liam Laurence Smyth (then Clerk of the Journals) observed in ‘Parliament and the Law’ (citing from a Government submission to the House of Commons Select Committee on Public Administration from 2003): It is not altogether… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Miliband needs to avoid being caught in a Greek pincer
The interesting bit for Labour is deciding what to tax that doesn't cause the economy to tank. So far their efforts have revolved around managing to generate a lot of publicity out of raising not very much money, the Banker Bashing Tax might well end up costing more than it makes if it causes any finance houses to move… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Polling averages and changes with the online pollsters sinc
Interesting about cannabis and politics. IMO political opinion got quite close to legalising it (as I recall both Anna and I took an interest in possible legalisation pre-2010) but there was a strong push-back on the reported effects on people with psychotic problems, and the politicians (including both of us) backed off.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » What we can learn from Nelson Mandela
Hmm Seems that crime pays (Sort of), £160 fine for £3000 of income, the two computers are probably worth £500 each at a guess. Thus the 150 hours of his work will effectively be paying him ~ between £12.26 and £14.50/hour I make it. His items he has sold on E-Bay will be the property of Jagex as per their EULA so I wonder… -
Re: As we approach the twentieth anniversary of 9/11 – politicalbetting.com
BTW thank you for your apology on the previous thread. Very gentlemanly of you. I do not wish to enrage you further on the topic but these proposals will hurt Daughter in multiple ways: on her income, on that of her staff and then on her business. Plus the increase in corporation tax as well. It feels like another hammer… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Meanwhile in Oldham….
You are straightforwardly wrong, HYUFD. An election triggered by a motion of no confidence does not require the incumbent leader to be nominated in order to stand again.* It would require somebody to be nominated to stand against him for there to be an election. Hilary Benn could not be elected unopposed unless Corbyn…
