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Re: A reminder that getting out the vote is crucial – politicalbetting.com
Yes, housing asylum seekers/illegal immigrants in 4* hotels, giving them NHS queue jumps, free money is all causing a huge number of votes to go for Reform. The drum beat of ridiculous judgements on deporting foreign criminals has also been a huge driver as well. I think people probably feel as though voting in a tough as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Not before 2022 or not at all now betting favourite for when B
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Re: Fewer than one in ten people think Badenoch would make the best PM – politicalbetting.com
Betty Brown didn’t celebrate her 92nd birthday on Monday like a typical nonagenarian. Instead, the Glaswegian grandmother blew out the candles on her pink birthday cake in the green room of the BBC studios after appearing on Newsnight, and the next morning met the post office minister in Whitehall. “My week has been… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This week’s by-elections. SNP and LAB both win and lose a s
Has Owen Smith has got things pear shaped again. Complaining about ASOS comparing to Sports Direct zero hours contracts etc. They say never met him, never been here, we do not have zero hour contracts, our workers take tiolet breaks when they want and we pay above the minimum wage! All verystrange.. Think he needs to calm… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A new betting strategy worth pursuing?
Good Morning, Interesting bit of info, gleaned from my emails yesterday. There seems to be a shift, the middle classes more towards the centre and left and the working classes more towards the right. Not sure of one trigger point but immigration comes to mind. May be immigration has been a good thing for the middle class,… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » LAB and the LDs must be hoping to move up the BBC National vot
1 - I do not believe the claims in that blog. His claim, which is based old data from about 1996 inserted into an RIBA report in the early 2000s, is that new houses in the UK are 76sqm. A more recent and more accurate figure is something like 93sqm, which is as-near-as-dammit the European average. Recent and exhaustive… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » By-Election Preview : January 23rd 2014
Or you could live in the real world where everyone knows it was the tory backbenchers you seem to despise who killed Lords Reform against the wishes of Cammie who wanted it.Lords reform rebels threaten the biggest revolt in Tory history as 100 backbenchers warn they will not hand Lib Dems power in Upper House Rebel… -
Re: It’s a stunning performance by Reform – politicalbetting.com
Yes, housing asylum seekers/illegal immigrants in 4* hotels, giving them NHS queue jumps, free money is all causing a huge number of votes to go for Reform. The drum beat of ridiculous judgements on deporting foreign criminals has also been a huge driver as well. I think people probably feel as though voting in a tough as… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Bloomberg’s high budget WH2020 campaign will continue against
What do people make of the Betfair exchange's implied probability of the main Labour candidates being next PM? Starmer - 66% chance of being next Labour leader - 15% chance of being next PM - ratio 4.3:1 Long Bailey - 16% Labour leader - 4.1% PM - ratio 4.0:1 Nandy - 12% Labour leader - 2.8% PM - ratio 4.3:1 (PM numbers… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » 2019 becomes favourite for year of next general election as pu
Morning all :) I have always wanted a say on any final deal but the problem has always been the lack of consensus on where rejecting any such deal would leave us - still in, crashing out, seeking an extension to A50 etc? Had May or anyone else said "IF you reject the A50 Treaty, it will mean a, b or c" that at least would… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why a brokered convention won’t stop Trump
Depends on the family. Those like the Norfolks have lots and lots of agricultural land but I'd guess that it does not form a significant part of their wealth. The Norfolks could actually be a case study of the futility of Death Duties/IHT. After nearly a hundred years since Lloyd George introduced his Death Duties they… -
Re: Two NYC bets you should be making – politicalbetting.com
It is much cooler outside this morning but the brick built houses in which many of us live are essentially ovens built for the cold not for heat so the heat is trapped inside and Stodge Towers is still brutally hot inside this morning. I suspect the recent hot spell has been more akin to Leon's current knapping trip for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » GE2015 could see UKIP winning more votes than the LDs yet n
tim and Brogan need to "calm down dear" - as David Smith pointed out yesterday in the ST. http://www.economicsuk.com/blog/001951.html#more "One of the functions of this column is to separate myth from reality. One myth, that the economy could never recover as long as the government was pursuing a deficit-reduction… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » October’s PB Poll Average: UKIP hit record high, Lab hit re
I think Nuttall's just talking big because there's some conference on at the Floral Hall. The LDs are well dug in, and Pugh is a strong incumbent. Over the last few sets of council elections, while the LDs have been wiped out almost everywhere else in Sefton they have held virtually every seat within Southport… -
Re: Things can only get better (Starmer hopes) – politicalbetting.com
The fact is private developers will only build detached housing in areas of high demand, going by construction figures in Scotland. The median price of a new build is £300,000 versus £185,000 for the rest of the market, and most of those are in and around Edinburgh. (I note that there has been a significant increase in… -
Re: Labour has a bigger problem in seeking power than Scotland: the Midlands…. – politicalbetting.com
Passenger numbers will never recover back to the pre-covid height because the demand to commute long distances 5 days a week has gone. It was proving impossible to meet demand on some routes where you couldn't fit longer trains and no paths for more services. A reduction in bums pressed against partitions will help. The… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The political role of the purples: As a stalking horse
Actually Peter Hitchens never said he thought homosexuality should be illegal. I have heard him say many times that he supported the act that legalised it. There never has been a war on drugs, that's the point. People don't get nicked for taking or possessing drugs. I, and all my mates, grew up taking drugs, getting caught… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on TMay’s big idea – the war on plastic waste
I would entirely agree. The problem of being led by Cable and known only as the anti-Brexit party has been the lack of imputus in a wider range of policy ideas. Norman Lamb would have been far better. He has a more nuanced approach to Brexit and has a host of worthwhile policies to greatly improve the country, particularly… -
Re: Undefined discussion subject.
A criminal enquiry must follow due process for exactly this reason. It isn't clear to me what role a judge led enquiry would achieve at this stage, because there isn't any conclusive technical evidence. Similarly, it isn't clear how having 100 police officers on the case right now would make successful prosecutions more… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Ten Lib Dem seats to watch
Is this not also driven eg by the Mumbai Hotel atrocity, and that it has been a foundational issue in India-Pak politics since partition? It has always read across to the UK. Back when I was at Uni in Bradford in the 1980s there were many terraced houses with random bricks painted in the colours of the Pakistan Flag. Watch…
