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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Freedom for Tooting – the by-election to fill Sadiq’s seat
Greetings from the Philippines where the polls for Eleksyon 2016 opened about 8 hours ago, its going to be an interesting day, although we are unlikely to find out what the results are until late tomorrow or early the following day. There has been a country wide alcohol sales ban in place since midnight yesterday as… -
Re: Lawyers are awesome, a continuing series – politicalbetting.com
The whole article is pretty interesting. One thing I wouldn't have predicted - while Taiwan has a demographic problem with its low birthrate, TSMC employees have much larger families. ...TSMC runs a ‘Child Care Benefit Program’ providing various incentives and subsidies for new parents, including 10 days paternity leave,… -
Re: The big win for Johnson was getting his 90 minutes in the Oval Office – politicalbetting.com
Don't know whether this has already been covered, but it seems Keith Vaz is now officially a wrong 'un: "Ex-Labour MP Keith Vaz should be ashamed of his behaviour towards a House of Commons staff member, a report on his conduct has said. ... The panel says the former Labour minister - who stood down as an MP in 2019 -… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » PB Nighthawks is now open
FPT in response to Tim: "All parties in this country who get MPs elected have supported,and support, free movement of labour. There's no point complaining that Europe is such an unimportant issue to most people that they won't vote for a party that doesn't believe in free movement. And as for not being listened to well… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » How special is special? The US-UK relationship
There is no sense in Brexit other than respecting the referendum result I wish we were not in this position and were it easy I would accept revoke But we are where we are and we do need to leave no-deal does not "respect" anything. I am not sure that a small majority on a referendum based on immoral emotionally bankrupt… -
Re: What is terrorism – a personal definition. – politicalbetting.com
A reminder of Labour in office: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk_politics/6424377.stm A clampdown has been launched targeting "foreigners [who] come to this country illegitimately and steal our benefits", home secretary John Reid has said. The plan is to stop illegal immigrants getting housing, healthcare or work. He said the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB EP2014 Competition: Predict the party shares to win
IDS's passion may have been ignited in Easterhouse - which I visited with him in the early 00s - but the work he and the Centre for Social Justice have done since then has been very broadly based. Debt, drugs, housing, modern slavery, family breakdown; all areas that he has personally researched and seen first hand. Of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn’s flat rejection of a second referendum sees the bettin
There was a bunfight on this between the Commons Library and the Speaker's Office around the time of the Meaningful Vote. The Commons Library was arguing what you were saying, and the Speaker's office were saying that the 21st Jan deadline is still in force. It seems to be ambiguous, and hooks on whether an agreement with… -
Re: Joyous and civic update – politicalbetting.com
I get your broad point - but those who don't work hard don't have to pay it off which defeats the point. I think this (skewing elderly) website sometimes misses the mood in the young. I've worked like a dog, and been very lucky to the extent that my (non-romantic) housemate and I clear £150k gross a year + moderate bonuses… -
Re: Can Cameron make Sunak’s election challenge any easier – politicalbetting.com
The magazine will certainly lose influence when Starmer takes over. It’ll be interesting to see what journal fills the slot for Labour. Presumably a mix of the guardian and the Staggers However the spec has been the house magazine for the Tory party for decades now - recall that Nigel Lawson was the editor in the 60s. I… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The sting. How George Osborne is tackling the deficit
Richard, this is my final reply on this because this conversation is completely pointless. We have had the fastest growth of any of the major countries in Europe despite starting in the worst position with the most combined public and private debt. We have cut our deficit to approximately 1/3 in terms of share of GDP, by… -
Re: Could the Conservatives Really Come Third? – politicalbetting.com
Clearing out an embarrassingly large mound of paper in my office today, around 2/3rds of the way down, I came across an old copy of Computer Weekly, which I must have deliberately saved at the time. The date, 12-18 May 2009. The front page" "Bankruptcy, prosecution, disrupted livelihoods. Postmasters** tell their story."… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Osborne gets this right today could be the game-changer
Sorry but the Keynesians have been proved right throughout the crisis. The only reason we're seeing a mini recovery now is because Osborne has put the brakes on deficit reduction and embraced a stimulus measure in the housing market. Trouble is that Labour's message was that Osborne wasn't for turning when he plainly has. -
Re: The latest Ipsos-MORI phone poll where I was part of the sample – politicalbetting.com
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Re: Trump’s Chances – Part 1 – politicalbetting.com
The Archbishop of Canterbury has accused members of Parliament of hate speech and revealed he carries a panic alarm because of threats made against him. The Most Rev Justin Welby said he had heard MPs and members of the Church of England making hateful comments “in the last few weeks” without specifying the incidents he… -
Re: LAB will surely hold Erdington with a much-increased majority – politicalbetting.com
One returns from the gym to find that two polls have been published suggesting that a majority of respondents think that Johnson should resign, and the Scottish Tory leader has also demanded the Prime Minister go if he was at the disputed party. The intervention by Ross, in particular, could be significant. If things pan… -
Re: Why blaming Brexit might help Labour (in the short term) – politicalbetting.com
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Re: City Am reporting that internal LD polling has the party 4% behind in Chesham and Amersham – politic
Given that UK plc has taken over the thick end of half a trillion of extra debt over the last 18 months why do you think that a bit of inflation is a bad thing? The Bank has had a target of 2% for a long time now and has consistently undershot that target as a result of deflationary pressures in the economy. On traditional… -
Re: Views on assisted dying – politicalbetting.com
Divorce rates have been declining for a quarter century. Mostly because many couples never marry in the first place. The fall in fertility rates is a worldwide phenomenon, and affecting nearly every country, though some are still over 2. It has very little to do with divorce law in any particular country, or for that… -
Re: A reminder that getting out the vote is crucial – politicalbetting.com
Yes, housing asylum seekers/illegal immigrants in 4* hotels, giving them NHS queue jumps, free money is all causing a huge number of votes to go for Reform. The drum beat of ridiculous judgements on deporting foreign criminals has also been a huge driver as well. I think people probably feel as though voting in a tough as…

