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Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » New YouGov polling finds that Corbyn has lost his LAB membe
Yes, we are in extraordinary economic times and have been since 2008 - because it is no longer news it is easy to think that somehow everything has gone back to normal. But without almost-free-money the fear is that the economy would seize up altogether. Sadly this policy has had some very adverse consequences including… -
Re: A united Ireland, a matter when not if? – politicalbetting.com
Ballymena riot latest: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/ckg4v04p008o Disorder in Ballymena following a protest over an alleged sexual assault in the town has been described as "unwanted and unwarranted" by the area's MP. People wearing masks threw masonry and other missiles at police, while houses were set on fire.… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf on Jihadi John and the afternoon round-up
Many people on zero hours contracts work a considerable, regular, number of hours. For years the number of people on zero hours contracts has been systematically underestimated through the Labour Force Survey, which (generally) requires the participant to identify their own employment status. When the government first… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » This might be the moment for Rory Stewart – the old Etonian of
Jeremy Corbyn couldn't even bring himself to mention the right to private property when asked to name one good thing about capitalism. I am not surprised that some of his more ignorant supporters believe that all property is theft or similar. It has been only relatively recently that we have heard people talk about land… -
Re: The first Senate impeachment vote splits 55-45 suggesting that the required two thirds majority unli
It isn't going to happen with Republican Senators voting to impeach Trump. They've looked at what has happened with Cheney and. more to the point, they have been fielding calls saying the House members aren't doing enough to protect Trump. Look at Paul's interview on CBS and his comments on electoral fraud, and also what… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big development following TMay’s Russia statement is an ap
There seems a peculiar sharpness to the anger over this that I'm simply not getting or understanding. There comes a point when we have to stop playing with the toy guns and soldiers and start living in the real world with the adults. Of course what has happened is reprehensible and has to be condemned and I get that, I… -
Re: Without the NHS improving Sunak’s government looks doomed – politicalbetting.com
Way earlier than that, I suspect. We've had fifty years or so where the boomer generation has been in employment and supporting a relatively small pensioner cohort. There has been a fiscal crunch coming that was visible from space. Despite that, voters have rewarded politicians who have cut taxes now, rather than doing… -
Re: A plurality of Brits see Reform, their policies, and their voters as racist – politicalbetting.com
Lucy Connolly has been present at the "Pink Ladies" demonstration near Downing Street: Jack Hadfield 🇬🇧 @JackHadders 2h Lucy Connolly told me she came out to the Pink Ladies protest today outside Downing Street to show her support, and let them know “how proud of them” she is. She added it was a “really unintelligent… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Saturday front pages are just starting to come through
I'm finding that the "Bedroom Tax" causes me conflicting emotions. As a tax payer, taking home less cash than the much vaunted Benefits Cap, I can see its merits, and can see the point behind it. On the other hand, having been born and bred in the same council house that my parents only left once they retired and moved… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB December Polling average: the Left rampant
And you are missing the point... the fact is that of course most muslims are ""hardworking Brits who share many of the values that we value, and who we should be welcoming, not stigmatising".. it is so obvious as to be barely worth saying, and is at best a distraction The problem has always been that there are a tiny… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Antifrank: How the Conservatives will lose their hegemony
Technically, all PMs are not a member of either House during an election period but I take the point that it's at least unusual and probably unique for one to have been in that position while parliament was sitting (IIRC, Gladstone did somewhat bizarrely lose his seat at one election that his party won, but he'd taken the… -
Re: Speed reading – politicalbetting.com
On Torbay, Kevin Foster is more LibDem than any LibDem in securing that constituency. It was won by the LibDems because of many, many years of neglect by the Conservatives. Kevin isn't making that mistake again. He has a very visible constituency presence, with a very detailed and interactive weekly newsletter that goes… -
Re: Cleverly becomes the favourite – politicalbetting.com
Labour are going to have to learn to fight these sort of battles internally - but the biggest problem they have is all that all their flagship tax plans don't work. It seems the raid on pensions has stopped because of consequences (everyone would shift to salary sacrifice and taxing that would be problematic) and they've… -
Re: A Very British Alternative: Jim Callaghan's Victory and the Redefinition of Britain's Future
I suppose it depends on the emphasis one puts one it, but if something were being used as a 4 star hotel until the point it was used to house asylum seekers, when the accommodation became less comfortable, I think saying "they're being put up in a 4 star hotel" is fine. Admittedly they are not being treated to a 4 star… -
Re: If this narrative takes hold then Boris Johnson is doomed – politicalbetting.com
So my terminology has been justly criticised, but has anyone any idea who might be the stalking horse, if one is needed, to bring down Boris? I think it'd need to be someone stupid enough to think they were a candidate rather than a stalking horse, so maybe Gavin? -
Re: What happened when I switched the CON and LAB GE2019 vote shares on the Electoral Calculus seat pred
May be I am being dense but why would a council tax revaluation achieve anything? I get that relative value of some properties may have changed so it could have an impact on individuals (although I’m not sure that there will have been that many radical relative shifts within a council area). But unless the total amount of… -
Re: Lest we forget – the sheer scale of the UK COVID toll – politicalbetting.com
I thought you had cameras in bathrooms to check hand washing compliance!!! Not sure I believe the numbers of people without masks, teenagers roaming around in groups, things relatives have told me on the phone. My mum who is in group 4 told me she hadn't seen anyone except my brother who she has formed a bubble with. Later… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Betting on Will There Be Another Government Sponsored Commo
If he was doing so well, then why were there so many rebels on the borders of his capital city? Try to see it strategically from Assad's point of view. Many areas of his country are in rebel hands. He has to protect his capital. He wants to retake the areas the rebels hold, but that would mean destroying a large suburb of… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the biggest current political betting market Trump now give
Wrong. here is the group's manifesto, incidentally, which anyone can read because they are too clueless to make the group secret rather than just closed: "Description Britain is a nation that has been shooting at it's own feet for too long. Too much tolerance of socialism has cost us a trillion pounds. Things must change… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Fear and loathing in the Tory Party. Whatever the result of
US Presidential News! Governor Gary Johnson has just won the Libertarian Party Nomination for President! www.garyjohnson2016.com Ok this was the expected result, so no big news, but so far there have been 4 opinion poles that have included his name and all 4 have him at 10% or more. Now he has formaly won the nomination, I…