Search
-
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Rochester betting: Although UKIP looks a near certainty the
My back of a fag packet solution to the SRS/BT is as follows: Identify the social housing NEED in the town/borough or whatever. Identify the social housing AVAILABILITY in the town/borough or whatever. Create a program to match the need and availability - the parameters being to move about as few people as possible. Reduce… -
Re: Terrible front pages for Johnson as CON drops 28% – politicalbetting.com
Part of it is climate - in particular the UK has a lot of variety. Plus I think we have a miser culture of not wanting to invest in our own houses. It's weird when the Government just gave us all free money to about 12% of the value of our houses by inflating prices last year. However UK ASHP sales doubled last year. In… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The day after: Betting and other by-election round up
Speaking of the tyranny of small differences - Mr Kirkup has a few thoughts blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/jameskirkup/100289220/ukips-by-election-successes-and-the-narcissism-of-small-differences/As Labour and the Conservatives ponder their respective setbacks at Ukip hands today, it’s worth pondering the similarities in the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The search for the answer to Labour’s woes
The "ridiculous case" last year and the Supreme Court case this year are the same case. The original judge decided that Mrs Ilott (the estranged daughter cut out of her mother's will) was entitled to reasonable provision from her mother's estate and awarded her £50,000 - a little over 10% of the estate. The Court of Appeal… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Sunday Trading vote: Dave/Osbo’s problem is not the SNP
OK, but aside from days that are good/bad for specific reasons, then does your taxi driver's dilemma not run into the gambler's fallacy. If the first n hours of driving have been good earners that is no guarantee that the next hour or hours will be equally as good, any more than the fact the if the roulette wheel has… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Compared with the 2016 “Enemies of the People” Mail coverage t
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/60641/cabinet-manual.pdf "2.9 Historically, the Sovereign has made use of reserve powers to dismiss a Prime Minister or to make a personal choice of successor, although this was last used in 1834 and was regarded as having… -
Re: On the biggest political betting market of all time Biden is still favourite but not by much – polit
About the Lords stopping the bill... MPs are voting on the money resolution for the UK Internal Market Bill The money resolution authorises the spending of public money in relation to the bill A money bill is a bill that in the opinion of the House of Commons Speaker is concerned only with national taxation, public money… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Expectations of an easing are running high and Boris looks set
Turkey was a very big order until it turned out there was almost nothing there. Remember the pictures of the RAF plane landing in Turkey, with more planes on standby, where it just sat for a couple of days. Politics: lots of references to Jenrick Air in the papers so perhaps the SoS for Housing who has so many houses he… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why People Voted UKIP
If they want to find them the place to look is in the 12+ occupant houses. http://www.expressandstar.com/news/2014/01/14/romanians-in-hard-times-on-benefits-street/ "Fourteen Romanian immigrants moved into James Turner Street and were crammed together in a four-bedroom house" Point being this has been getting worse for… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » When will Mrs May announces her decision to stand down or be r
Recessions are necessary, they allow house prices to return to a more reasonable level and let bad money go bust and allow newer and better opportunities. It's great for the young who have little to no assets already. Unfortunately the one we should have had in 2005 has been put off since with cheap credit and low interest… -
Re: Northern Ireland [Westminster] Constituencies : Part Two (Key Seats) – politicalbetting.com
They’ve explained it away and in fairness it seems plausible https://amp.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jun/28/stamp-duty-for-first-time-buyers-would-rise-in-2025-under-labour-government As far as I can tell, the 25% tax free allowance doesn’t have any sort of expiry date, so perhaps he actually misspoke. I don’t… -
Re: Sunak – are we approaching the end days? – politicalbetting.com
Part of the problem is that “the system” is afraid that an honest appraisal of the cost of an increasing population will increase anti-immigrant racism. You can see some of that here, with posters angrily stating that a population increasing much faster than the supply of properties isn’t the cause of a high housing… -
Re: WH2020 betting: The best odds on Biden are the in the national markets – Trump punters should go for
-
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump failing to complete a full term now odds-on as court mov
Can you impeach someone who has not been elected President ? For a President to be impeached, technically no illegality needs to be proven. Just the House needs to impeach the President with a simple majority and the Senate has to ratify with a two-thirds majority. As such, either illegality or some reprehensible… -
Re: It’s Not About You – politicalbetting.com
Email your MP. The government might be about to kill its chances of getting anywhere near its housing targets stone dead. A Rubbish Tax The expensive dangers a small tax tweak has for building in the UK https://benhopkinson.substack.com/p/a-rubbish-tax Somewhere, deep in the Treasury, a few tax tweaks on landfills have… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » House games: Where Dragons fly and swords shimmer
Drug dealers also take risks and work hard - doesn't mean they add value to society overall either! The social consequences of the rise of buy to let and private renting are serious and grave: no assets to pay for social care in retirement as fewer will own - bad news for the taxpayer and NHS housing insecurity as you can… -
Re: The logic behind this is hard to justify explain – politicalbetting.com
And the pleasant autumn sunshine is streaming through my windows. As ever, the dissonance is piquant Unfortunately I think the pessimistic take is the right one, at the moment. And yet on the other hand the Iranian regime might be on the verge of collapse so Yay? “Astonishing scenes from #Iran. Protesters have burned down… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Methinks that Osborne might have to U-turn on tax credits
You absolutely save more if you are renting, your situation is much less secure than if you own your home. Before I bought my flat I was paid less and saved more (as a proportion of income). Now I have that security of a permanent roof over my head that I own, the need to save is lower, even in my specific case where I am… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Breaking the chain. Can the Lib Dems defy history?
Even if the Conservatives win extremely well, many Tories believe that May has been found out by the campaign. There is – how to put this? – something of the shite about her. In fact, in terms of what it has exposed about May, calling the election has been the equivalent of the prime minister swimming a mile out into the… -
Re: politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Tangled Web that has evolved
I can only think of two occasions in the last 200 years when Parliament has not been actually dissolved that the PM has not been in Parliament, both times very briefly while switching between Houses - 1876 and 1963. On both occasions, that was understood as a temporary thing. An expulsion for contempt would not meet that…
