To put it in concrete terms, I think an election where the national share for Reform is ~30% is an election where a seat like Earley and Woodley swings back from Labour to the Tories. (View Post)

He was cagey about it. It's largely forgotten now but in the immediate aftermath of the referendum, one of the things that torpedoed his chances was Theresa May attacking his position that free … (View Post)

Andy Burnham is on manoeuvres. (View Post)

No because we all have the internet. In that sense fake news on social media helps bring us together. (View Post)

One way in which it probably does change the dynamic significantly is that when the proportion of people coming into London from the rest of this country falls, it increases the disconnect between th… (View Post)