williamglenn
williamglenn
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Re: Popular mandates – politicalbetting.com
https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/1853484698481443206 General election poll 🔵 Harris 51% (+4) 🔴 Trump 47% Marist #A - LV - 11/2 (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
The scenario in the Harris ad could play out the other way round too, with male Trump supporters "snorkelling" to avoid detection in their pro-Democrat environment. (View Post)2 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
It's interesting to compare Selzer's final poll in 2020 with those exit poll numbers to see where she got it wrong, despite the headline result being close. It looks like she also had a pol… (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
They can give detailed demographic statistics before the election is even over, but it takes weeks to count the votes. (View Post)1 -
Re: This explains why the Selzer poll is different to others – politicalbetting.com
It's ambiguous because they don't have a breakdown showing all registered voters. They just have three variants: All Respondents: Trump 46.3%, Harris 36.5% All Respondents excluding those w… (View Post)1
