The Labour source is comparing a figure with undecided/won't vote to a figure without. If you adjust to be like for like its within the margin of error. (View Post)

I'd expect a gap between the hypothetical and how things play out in the real world. Not least because 2029 will see unprecedented levels of Lib Dem bar chart shenanigans from all parties. (View Post)

He was doing press with Ed Miliband in Denton at the weekend. https://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/greater-manchester-news/day-labour-heavyweights-descended-denton-33426971.amp (View Post)

Jackie Pearcey is a perennial Lib Dem candidate in the area, 4 runs at the previous Manchester Gorton. She was on the ballot paper the first time I ever voted in 2001, coming second to Gerald Kaufman… (View Post)

I've been pondering turnout in Gorton and Denton. High turnout - would favour Labour. Disillusioned voters staying at home was their biggest obstacle even before blocking Burnham. Low turnout - … (View Post)