Thanks @Quincel for another very informative thread header. (View Post)

If Labour win north of 450 seats, it’s quite possible some of the more left-leaning MPs become an informal opposition. (View Post)

Labour are odds on in South West Hertfordshire. Different boundaries to before, but I'm not sure that matters too much. The Lib Dems are very strong locally in that area and at 50-1, I think they're … (View Post)

Isn't a big part of it that it's just a function of the underlying polling? If Labour are 25 points ahead of the Tories, it's likely going to be a huge Labour landslide. The real value of the MRP is … (View Post)

Really good thread from Dan Neidle: https://x.com/DanNeidle/status/1796455532771127650 Dan Neidle @DanNeidle This is all an uncomfortable result from my personal political perspective: I'm in favour … (View Post)