Assuming you understand how politics and campaigning actually work, they won't. It will be a name on the ballot paper and that will be true of most candidates in most seats. At most, parties wit… (View Post)

I see there's a new pollster in town called the Good Growth Foundation. Not sure if they are BPC accredited yet but their opening offering is: Reform: 28% (+13) Labour: 21% (-14) Conservative: 2… (View Post)

In Newham, we've had another huge Newham Independents win in Plaistow South with NIP and Reform getting 65% of the vote from nothing. Labour lost two thirds of their vote as did the Conservative… (View Post)

Sub samples? I was told off for using a sub sample of England VI and a weighted vote of 2000 yet the Standard is probably playing guesswork with much smaller numbers. On other sites, there are all so… (View Post)

Indeed and this is the big question for Badenoch going forward. Whatever her public criticisms of Reform before an election, do we still think IF the numbers work for a Reform minority Government, sh… (View Post)