Electoral Calculus says 109 - the Conservative share is nearly five points below 1997 so it's hard to see how they could win a similar number of seats. That in turn boosts the LD total toward 19… (View Post)

In case it's not been referenced, we have the monthly Survation poll: LAB: 44% (-1) CON: 26% (-) LDEM: 11% (+1) REF: 8% (-1) GRN: 4% (-) 59-34 so in line with other pollsters. Survation seem to … (View Post)

I suspect most people don't have an "image" of Starmer (apart from those who've already decided they don't like him) other than he's not Rishi Sunak and he's not a … (View Post)

So this is the issue which will bring the voters flocking back to the Conservatives? Seriously - "misjudged the public mood" - yeah, right. (View Post)

There's policy and there's politics and you're savvy enough to know the two aren't the same. Starmer is continuing to use the Mandelson schtick of reassuring former Conservative v… (View Post)