Late afternoon all :) Once again it's all too easy to see the future through the prism of the past. We aren't looking at maiden form in handicaps here or draw bias - the past is probably no… (View Post)

Evening all :) We now have 6 weeks of this nonsense to endure - every single point move in the polls becomes of seismic importance. A few very early thoughts - debates? When, how many, with whom? Wha… (View Post)

As we saw in London, however, the more the media try to claim it's a "close race", the less close it becomes. The only beneficiaries from a "close race" narrative will be Lab… (View Post)

Thete's a significant difference between a Government going into an election with a big lead and an Opposition going into an election with a big lead. In 1997, the Conservatives turned a 21 poin… (View Post)

Late afternoon all :) It's all been grand theatre and a lot of fun today. I wonder when the actual decision was taken and on what basis. As might be expected, there's a run back to the big … (View Post)