Though of course Baxter also allows for an element of tactical voting which can easily push that Conservative number down by another 20-30 seats - in 1997 the national swing was about 10%, it was 13%… (View Post)

48% to form a majority, 46% a minority so it's far from a foregone conclusion the Conservatives will be able to form a Government if the Liberals, NDP and BQ can get enough seats. (View Post)

My immediate observation is it's a much lower share of the vote for Conservative-Labour combined than some other polls. R&W last Monday had 76% voting Con/Lab, More in Common 73% and Omnisis… (View Post)

Interested to see rent-a-gob Michael Fabricant telling his local Police to "turn a blind eye" to pubs (and presumably other places) selling alcohol early on Sunday morning in advance of the… (View Post)

If it's any consolation to you (which it won't be), the irony is the Social Democrats won in the end. Roy Jenkins and Shirley Williams would be broadly content with much of what has happene… (View Post)