Yet despite only winning 60.3% of the vote in England between them, Labour and the Conservatives still won 463 of the 543 English seats (85%). Using Baxter, I took 5% off both the Conservative and La… (View Post)

Not sure that's true. However unpopular a Government may be, their chances of re-election are increased by the quality of the opposition facing them (2024 is only a slight exception to the rule)… (View Post)

After 14 years of the Conservatives not doing any "stuff", I can't see the long term advantage of that either. (View Post)

Also, usual caveat about margin of error so the main change since July Labour down and Reform the main beneficiaries thus far. (View Post)

I'm not quite sure how a comment like that helps and we've seen one or two of these claiming no one will argue a positive for Trump (I'm not stopping anyone) and no one will post polls… (View Post)