As you say, the "art of the deal". I don't know for example how much last week's little excursion into downtown Caracas "cost" but presumably whatever guarantees he has … (View Post)

Assuming you slavishly follow UNS which in a multi party system under FPTP is probably about the worst thing you can do. Never mind, if it makes you feel better... (View Post)

The only YouGov sub sample worth considering is the England which has a sample number of around 2000. Compared with the 2024 GE, the poll indicates (if you want a cheap laugh on a Wednesday morning):… (View Post)

Regarding Johnson, it was much more nuanced than you make out. Yes, he won a majority in December 2019 by getting three quarters of the LEAVE voters and, more importantly, 20% of the REMAIN voters to… (View Post)

Evening all :) We have a poll to discuss and what's even better, it's a London only poll.... 🌹 LAB: 31% (-1) ➡️ REF: 19% (-4) 🟢 GRN: 18% (+8) 🌳 CON: 17% (-3) 🔶 LDEM: 13% (+2) Polling by… (View Post)