Amen to that. (View Post)

What an election. I feel a bit deflated that the hoped for Biden landslide and big pay out, for me at least, didn’t materialise. But an extraordinary event to have been part of. And looking like the … (View Post)

Yes. It doesn’t follow that Biden losing PA means he loses the election. But at this stage all the models would shift to making Trump the probable winner. (View Post)

I’ve been asking to be matched on one of the Betfair POTUS markets to hopefully win £1k. The price is moving away from me so I may not get fully matched. So far I’ve been matched to win “£538”. Spook… (View Post)

But Robert. They are related contingencies. If Trump wins PA then on Nate Silver’s model he becomes odds on for the Presidency. He becomes favourite in Arizona and a shorter favourite than he already… (View Post)