I’ve been asking to be matched on one of the Betfair POTUS markets to hopefully win £1k. The price is moving away from me so I may not get fully matched. So far I’ve been matched to win “£538”. Spook… (View Post)

But Robert. They are related contingencies. If Trump wins PA then on Nate Silver’s model he becomes odds on for the Presidency. He becomes favourite in Arizona and a shorter favourite than he already… (View Post)

A big uncertainty for me is the apparently huge amount of additional Registered Voters this election. How many are there? What % increase on last time? How come? How do they split on party lines? Is … (View Post)

I've been trying to work out what the best value bet is at the moment. My only position is a £10 buy of Biden ECVs at 285 which I'm very happy with. Wish I'd risked a bigger stake. I t… (View Post)

They say every man has his price. I think in Starmer’s case though, he’d want more than an antelope. Anyway, where would he put it? (View Post)