If Labour have given up on Bridgend, a seat that they had an 11% lead last time, they won't get the Vale which they lost by 4%. Those are neighbouring seats. (View Post)

With Survation in this is the final prediction based on all the average regional subsamples from all the different pollsters when I plugg them in Electoral Calculus: CON 346 LAB 229 SNP 40 LD 13 PC 3… (View Post)

At the ends of the Laffer Curve the tax rate does not impact the economy in a positive way. If taxes are too low it reduces public investment more than it boosts private investment. If they are too h… (View Post)

I wont count them because poll herding always occurs in the final days. (View Post)

I agree on the basis of the polling evidence that Brexit is the main drag on Labour in this election. But going left on cultural values will risk replicating the Brexit situation, because Brexit is a… (View Post)