An important milestone has been hit today in American polling. For the first time in 3 years Trump has briefly hit his 2016 vote share of 45.6 in the approval average: https://www.realclearpolitics.c… (View Post)

If it's only the arctic then the solution is at hand. It doesn't require world wide radical changes, but climate change is too often used as a vehicle for those seeking or holding power through radic… (View Post)

That last debate was indeed pivotal, I was correct in thinking that the Sanders-Warren clash would move their voters towards one side or the other. In the end Warren was the one who lost because no o… (View Post)

With the exception of Buttigieg, that is correct. (View Post)

By the way it's still not certain that Sanders will win Iowa. It's a caucus not a primary, so the polling error is greater than usual, and it's Iowa which decides only at the very last moment. But if… (View Post)