Betting markets unimpressed by Sue Gray. Down to 27% chance of him out on Betfair I think, and wouldn't be surprised if that lengthens further. As for Starmer... I like his line about the Tories… (View Post)

As an aside, I couldn't resist a few quid on Aaron Bell as next leader of the Tories. >800/1 at the moment in a very illiquid market on betfair. I think it's possible he might run becaus… (View Post)

Have topped up on Boris surviving 2022. Partly I'm confident, partly I'd be happy for him to go. Reckon I've gone a bit early though, I'd imagine Wed/Thurs might be the peak befor… (View Post)

Still think Johnson is going nowhere. Tory MPs are making jokes about party gate - they clearly don't care. Not even enough for a leadership challenge. And Johnson will obviously not resign - so… (View Post)

Tricky market to bet on - it really feels like you're basically betting on what Joe Biden thinks, on a subject he is not exactly unbiased... 30% looks a bit low to me, but think it makes sense t… (View Post)