B- rating according to 538 (whatever that means). Second time Biden polls 57%, both occurring this month. Starting to hope a bit more my longshot bet of 58%+ will come in. (View Post)

Benpointer and LadyG a couple - who'd have guessed it!? (View Post)

FPT: 538 reckon ~10% chance of Biden getting > 57% of vote if I am interpreting their vote % chart correctly. I agree the race has been stable, but I think because of the unusual nature of this ra… (View Post)

I'm on the 270 up at +37 for Biden. Electoral-vote.com is showing likely dem = 319, going up to 350 if you include barely dem and 374 if Biden wins the tossups. After that it's Texas which … (View Post)

Interesting polling. Also notable that other popular taxes are capital gains and higher council tax for big properties. Suggests to me there's a sweet spot for Starmer to say he will not raise i… (View Post)