Really tough spot for Pelosi. She knows this impeachment may backfire politically but at the same time, it would be a complete dereliction of duty to just allow Trump's crimes to go entirely una… (View Post)

Let's say a bet is priced at being a 1% chance, and you correctly think it's a 2% chance. If you make 100 such bets, you may still lose them all. In fact there is a 13.3% chance you'll… (View Post)

So voting in someone from Cambridge leads to WWII. That's the right conclusion to draw yeah? (View Post)

I'm keeping an open mind for now, trying to better understand why Labour lost and encouraging friends in despair at Johnson that they should join Labour and have a say in the leadership contest.… (View Post)

She's talking a lot of sense here. A stitch up would be a disaster. Don't know much about her but I hope she runs (she's also my best betting result that's realistic). (View Post)