A market to avoid. Betting on how Joe Biden will be feeling in a year or two doesn't feel like value to me - I simply have no idea. Surprised to learn that Trump isn't the favourite for Rep… (View Post)

I don't think any of the last 5 teams to win started with a draw, although Spain started with a loss in 2010. 50 looks generous, but if you think about 50% chance of getting out of group, 50% in… (View Post)

How well did unfunded income tax cuts work last time? (View Post)

I'm enjoying following this one. I have no idea how twitter works or even what a tech stack really is, but one side is going to look stupid in about 4 weeks. (View Post)

The only lock that is going to apply for a while is inflation... and I don't think you can realistically expect pensioners to take the hit on that at 11%. (View Post)