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Re: It is still odds-on that Johnson won’t last the year – politicalbetting.com
Another result I find surprising, is: "MPs were also asked: if you roll a six-sided die, if the rolls are 1,3,4,1 and 6, what are the mean and mode values? Around two-thirds, 64 per cent, of res… (View Post)1 -
Re: A Very Dark Horse for Johnson’s successor – politicalbetting.com
South Korea/North Korea -> one awful govt, one good, has led to one of the world's wealthiest and poorest countries to be next door. That's an extreme example, but I would say it's … (View Post)1 -
Re: Johnson could face VONC “in days” – Daily Mail – politicalbetting.com
Sure if we discover oil in the Irish sea that's a bit random... and the economy goes through cycles and shocks (and pandemics), but in the long run the strength of our economy is strongly influe… (View Post)1 -
Re: If Sunak is facing Tugendhat then my 250/1 bet might be in jeopardy – politicalbetting.com
Yes - I agree. I don't see why it's taken as automatic that Boris Johnson would lose a VoNC. Even Theresa May won hers! IMO the markets are way way overestimating chances of Boris going... … (View Post)1 -
Re: Wanted: A PM who DID NOT go to Oxford – politicalbetting.com
It's pretty obvious he has broken the rules and lied. A police investigation might officially declare rules broken and fine him. But still sceptical that will sway Tory MPs. It will be... "… (View Post)1