Merry Christmas all! (View Post)

He's broadly correct I think. "When pt reaches a value of 1 – 1/R0 then Rt = 1. This is the herd immunity threshold." https://royalsociety.org/-/media/policy/projects/set-c/set-c-herd-… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1473575940932448256?t=4qEZ4vM3BbPkt5O2a6q0Ug&s=09 This was a pretty good takedown of the critiques. (View Post)

Since everyone else seems to have a different covid reality: all the young people I know are: a) broadly abiding by the rules b) worried about the virus (more for their parents/grandparents), c) very… (View Post)

My big lesson of COVID is the opposite. Be very careful and restrictive about who you read, because there is a huge amount of complete nonsense out there and a huge amount of things that no one could… (View Post)