Emily Thornberry at 999/1 for next PM. Probably priced about right, but I would so love to win a 999/1 bet. (View Post)

Boris Johnson is not going to resign because Keir Starmer does. He will not care one iota about the optics. An argument will be concocted that Keir's breach was worse, or that because it was more hyp… (View Post)

Thanks for sharing the graph. I think there's a big drop in voting Tory from having a degree shown there, but mainly benefits the Lib Dems. (View Post)

As to whether Keir Starmer should resign... I think yes if he is found to have broken the rules. I often criticize the left for being too nice and playing by rules that the other side doesn't respect… (View Post)

Very little evidence to suggest Johnson is in trouble I'd say. Still no leadership challenge - and the fact that Starmer is under investigation helps defuse some of the partygate criticism. I actuall… (View Post)