It's a fictional TV show! You can obviously steer ministers on stuff they don't really care about, but locking down the country is one of those things politicians are going to pay attention… (View Post)

However you cut it, getting infected with a deadly disease to reduce the risk from infection of a less deadly disease is not a good strategy. (View Post)

Merry Christmas all! (View Post)

He's broadly correct I think. "When pt reaches a value of 1 – 1/R0 then Rt = 1. This is the herd immunity threshold." https://royalsociety.org/-/media/policy/projects/set-c/set-c-herd-… (View Post)

https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1473575940932448256?t=4qEZ4vM3BbPkt5O2a6q0Ug&s=09 This was a pretty good takedown of the critiques. (View Post)