My main fear is that we land in a situation where there are too many cases for effective contact tracing and isolation, and so we end up with a long-term pseudo-lockdown anyway. People like me, who c… (View Post)

That isn't obvious to me. I think a more general version is obviously true: the faster decline in London is because there is a greater difference in conditions between London today, and London on, sa… (View Post)

In practice, the difference is that an awful lot of people will continue the kind of informal social distancing that they began before the official lockdown. Shops, bars, restaurants, gyms etc. will … (View Post)

Boris seems to be edging closer to the winning strategy: assert control over the situation with an effective system of testing and tracing, sufficient to restore public confidence in the safety of pu… (View Post)

This is a good point. I'm baffled by how many batty schemes people want to come up with, when the simple course of action is to test widely, trace and test the contacts of anyone who tests positive, … (View Post)