My guess is that Reform will get 1-3 defectors and will win 3-5 byelections in the next four and a half years. Which would - I would note - only be a fifth of the likely number of byelections. And th… (View Post)

She may even choose to stay independent, and reckon that is the best way of holding on in Canterbury. (View Post)

CCS does "work" in that it captures carbon dioxide, and then stores it in places where it is unlikely to escape from. It is just that it is absurdly expensive, and if you wanted to spend th… (View Post)

On topic: I would 6-4 is attractive, but locking my money away for up to four and a half years for a (not entirely certain) 50% return is not. If it paid out the moment Reform got to 10 MPs, it might… (View Post)

When attacked by Tweet, the best advice for anyone is ignore it! The more fuss you kick up, the more you draw attention to something that would probably otherwise be forgotten within 24 hours (if it … (View Post)