Indeed: the actual result was the most likely scenario under Nate Silver's model. With that said... Trump clearly outperformed at the national share level, just not by *that* much. (View Post)

FWIW, I think they'll struggle to top the poll. I suspect they'll end up close but no cigar. Say, 44-41 or similar. (View Post)

"Movie" might be stretching it. (View Post)

My daughter - when she was little - always used to say "complicated" when she meant "constipated". (View Post)

You know, when I was writing the comment, I thought I was being a little exclusionary. But I wanted to get the word "commune" in there, and couldn't easily see how I could do it otherw… (View Post)