This is right. On the other hand, there are a lot of Labour non-voters. (Plus a pool of Green and LibDems to fish in.) My forecast -after due consideration- is a very narrow Burnham victory, with eve… (View Post)

I think if he does win, it will be very hard to stop him becoming Prime Minister. He was, after all, the man who saw of Reform in one of their top targets. With that said, the events after he wins (i… (View Post)

But it's also 20 points higher than the MP for Makerfield got in the 2024 General Election. (View Post)

"literally zero chance" Presumably you'll happily offer me 20-1? (View Post)

Indeed: Reform + Con is over 40% there. It will need an extremely impressive performance from Burnham. On the other hand, if it does win it, then he can say "look, I saw off Reform in one of the… (View Post)