rcs1000
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Re: The latest White House 2028 betting – politicalbetting.com
Harvard Business School: this story has been brewing for a while. She made up the numbers (and she's hardly the onyle one to have done so). Which is why we have peer review, and people try and r… (View Post)1 -
Re: The latest White House 2028 betting – politicalbetting.com
I think the point is that failure to reproduce shows that people are trying to reproduce, and (most likely) are trying to reproduce those things most likely to fail. If people weren't trying to … (View Post)1 -
Re: The latest White House 2028 betting – politicalbetting.com
Sigh. This is simple maths. There's an example of when a drug shows such extraordinary efficacy in early trials that it is rushed to market, and yet as the trials continue, the efficacy drops. B… (View Post)1 -
Re: The latest White House 2028 betting – politicalbetting.com
@Leon There's another major statistical thing that you also need to consider. If someone previously tested the hypothesis, and got a negative result, then will will rush to reproduce it, because… (View Post)3 -
Re: The latest White House 2028 betting – politicalbetting.com
That's not a crisis: that's science working as it should. https://xkcd.com/882/ If people published negative results, then we wouldn't have this issue, because people would know that t… (View Post)3
