I can't see Tagle getting it: he's too liberal. And if he were to get it it, it would only be after wearing down the cosnservatives over multiple rounds of voting where it became clear that he was th… (View Post)
On topic, I think the tip is a one of those good value losers. In today's febrile voting environment, it is far from impossible that you get four parties between 15 and 30% come the next election, an… (View Post)
"People respond to incentives, the rest is commentary" If you want to reduce the number of people turning up by small boats, reduce the incentives for them to do so. (View Post)
So... it's an interesting question. I don't think a Chinese invasion of the Taiwanese mainland is feasible, without utterly horrendous losses. Taiwan has a lot of pretty capable aircraft, and a small… (View Post)