That's not a stupid strategy. I mean, I don't think any of those look particularly likely candidates - but then again you're getting odds that are appropriate. (View Post)

I would lay everyone for the Democratic nomination in 2028. Or at least I would if I didn't need to lock money up for three years, which makes the whole thing not worth while getting involved in… (View Post)

If you haven't read the Conclave book, how do you know the twists are the same? (View Post)

There's an old saying that 10% of people will always shoplift, 10% of people will never shoplift, and 80% will shoplift if the circumstances are right. There's a huge amount of evidence tha… (View Post)

I think that's *largely* true, with the proviso that if you are hegemonic, but provoke greater tactical voting against you than the alternative, then your bar for success becomes pretty high. Yo… (View Post)