The New Jersey race is looking like an even more comfortable Dem win than Virginia - and more of a reversal from 2024 than Virginia. (View Post)

Silwa was a better candidate than Cuomo. Unfortunately, he got squeezed out of the news cycle. (View Post)

Yes (View Post)

Which is why I think the Texas redistricting is potentially a disaster for the Republicans: it's based on them maintaining their 2024 gains with Hispanic voters, and if those dissipate -even only mod… (View Post)

NYT estimates it will end up with Spanberger on 67%, so a 13% lead. I suspect they will be broadly right. (View Post)