Yes (View Post)

Which is why I think the Texas redistricting is potentially a disaster for the Republicans: it's based on them maintaining their 2024 gains with Hispanic voters, and if those dissipate -even only mod… (View Post)

NYT estimates it will end up with Spanberger on 67%, so a 13% lead. I suspect they will be broadly right. (View Post)

Early data from Virginia is showing the Republicans running ahead of their 2024 performance in the majority black Brunswick County, but well down in Mannassas, which is majority Hispanic. (View Post)

Looks like a comfortable result for Spanberger in Virginia - about a 12 percentage point win, which is almost exactly in line with polls. (View Post)