No, the centrist dads - like me - said this was all going to blow over. Basically, our take on most things is "there's a lot of ruin in a nation", and you do more damage by reflexive behavi… (View Post)

With regard to Russia, I think (or maybe I hope) that the Trump administration has realised that the current front lines are not enough of a victory for Putin. That is, Putin cannot survive the curre… (View Post)

I think the latest intelligence view is that they got most of the enriched uranium about before the attacks, but that pretty much all of centrifuges and enrichment capability has been destroyed. The … (View Post)

Letting oil flow from Iran would be a double positive for the world: driving down oil prices (good for energy importers like the UK), and putting pressure on the Russian government. The only downside… (View Post)

Lower oil prices would have a two order effect: for European countries and Japan, it'd simply reduce net imports, increasing GDP mechanistically. In the world more generally, it would mean more money… (View Post)