I think there's going to be quite a lot of seat turnover. Seats the Liberals won in two horse races against the Conservatives are flipping one way, while seats where the NDP had a big vote share… (View Post)

St Margarets in Nova Scotia looks like it might be the first Con to Liberal result. It's neck and neck there right now (47.3 v 47.6), but the collapse of the NDP from 20% to 2% could well hand i… (View Post)

Particularly as polling stations are range from 10s of votes to 1,000s. (View Post)

Interestingly, the Liberals seem to be doing best where the NDP was strong before. Cape Spear has been called for the Liberals, and this is a seat where the NDP were second with 23% of the vote last … (View Post)

It's very hard to get a feel for how the parties are doing: at the top level, the Liberals have opened up quite a lead - 50 v 44 - but it's only 1% of polling places reporting, and it'… (View Post)