(Teasing hat on.) Ah yes, the principle of subsidiarity, as enshrined in the Maastricht Treaty of 1992. (Teasing hat back off again.) (View Post)

I would be very surprised if the Democrats won. On the other hand, I wouldn't be surprised at all if the gap was only 5 or 6 percentage points. (View Post)

I don't think it's that encouraging: it's a par result for the Democrats and point to them regaining the House next year. But it's not suggesting any kind of blow out result. (View Post)

Oh, lots could change in the next year: Trump could get lucky and get his tariffs declared illegal. Or, we could see the cost of living crisis intensify, while unemployment rises. They might also get… (View Post)

Although turnout at the midterms will likely be down a similar amount compared to the Presidential - we'll probably see 45% turnout v 65% at least years Presidential. (View Post)