It's two separate bets. Basically, one is buying Labour 50-55% (7/2), 55-60 (12/1), and Reform to win (6/1). If we convert them into probabilities, we're talking about almost exactly a 50% … (View Post)

On topic, @TheScreamingEagles is correct. However, I think the *really* smart bet is on: (a) Labour to win more than 50% of the vote. and (b) Reform to win. My rationale is that there's a hell o… (View Post)

It is weak. The EU position should include Russian to withdraw and respect the Budapest Memorandum, and Vladimir Putin to go on trial in the Hague. However, some of it is also game playing. They know… (View Post)

I think @boulay was joking. (View Post)

S&P recently reversed course on SpaceX, so it will not immediately join the S&P500, which is by far the biggest and most influential index. (View Post)